🐻⬇️🏀

Chico St.

Also known as: Chico St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 998 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1006 (#184) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.6 (#77) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.708 (#210) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.6 More → 0.695 (#121) NetEff +7.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.6 More → 0.828 (#214) AdjNet +13.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.835 (#213) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.714 (#222) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 71.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Seattle Pacific W 76 - 73
2024-11-09 @ Azusa Pacific L 78 - 81
2024-11-16 @ Academy of Art L 81 - 105
2024-11-18 vs Hawaii Pacific W 85 - 83
2024-11-22 vs Dominican (CA) W 77 - 61
2024-11-30 @ Cal Poly Humboldt W 87 - 79
2024-12-05 vs Cal St. East Bay W 76 - 48
2024-12-07 vs San Fran. St. W 79 - 62
2024-12-14 vs Cal Poly Humboldt W 93 - 81
2024-12-19 vs Pacific Union W 83 - 58
2025-01-02 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay W 78 - 74
2025-01-04 @ Stanislaus St. W 76 - 62
2025-01-09 vs Cal Poly Pomona W 83 - 81
2025-01-11 vs CSUSB W 81 - 67
2025-01-16 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 77 - 67
2025-01-18 @ Sonoma St. W 96 - 90
2025-01-23 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills L 58 - 79
2025-01-25 vs Cal State LA W 95 - 86
2025-01-30 @ CSUSB L 64 - 82
2025-02-01 @ Cal Poly Pomona L 54 - 65
2025-02-06 vs Stanislaus St. W 74 - 68
2025-02-08 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 69 - 59
2025-02-13 @ San Fran. St. W 82 - 65
2025-02-15 @ Cal St. East Bay W 75 - 72
2025-02-20 @ Cal State LA W 93 - 90
2025-02-22 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills W 86 - 79
2025-02-27 vs Sonoma St. W 95 - 68
2025-03-01 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 87 - 60
2025-03-07 vs CSUSB W 75 - 70
2025-03-08 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills L 68 - 74
2025-03-14 vs Central Wash. L 79 - 82

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jojo Murphy - 29 34.3 20.2 4.5 3.9 1.4 0.1 2.6 15.2 12.3 21 0.8 2.7 47.4 39.0 80.0 1.35 59.2 55.4
Trace Evans - 1 27.0 19.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 20.0 112 3.0 11.8 75.0 0 50.0 -0.27 73.8 75.0
Owen Moriarty - 1 29.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 8.0 124 4.4 11.6 38.5 40.0 100.0 0.35 54.2 46.2
Trae Taylor - 29 28.0 13.3 6.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.8 7.0 14.2 -1 -0.0 -0.2 73.9 0.0 72.6 0.98 75.6 73.9
Isaiah Kerr - 28 31.8 12.9 3.9 3.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 10.1 8.9 -97 -3.9 -16.2 46.1 35.7 72.2 0.95 56.5 53.3
Julian Mora - 1 28.0 12.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 101 5.9 37.1 44.4 28.6 100.0 0.32 60.7 55.6
Jaxon Nap - 1 29.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 10.0 72 2.2 5.5 60.0 33.3 83.3 1.11 78.5 70.0
Caden Harris - 29 28.4 11.2 4.7 1.8 1.5 0.3 1.6 9.2 8.8 35 1.1 5.3 46.4 37.7 76.5 1.3 57.8 56.2
Miles Daniels - 18 30.7 10.3 4.2 3.6 1.8 0.7 2.5 8.6 9.7 -17 -1.1 -5.7 44.2 33.3 70.6 0.06 52.7 48.7
Henry Sandberg - 1 24.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 2.0 69 2.2 10.7 50.0 33.3 0 -0.01 56.2 56.2
Cortevious Taylor - 30 12.4 5.8 3.4 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.6 4.9 4.6 -10 -0.4 -3.2 37.4 28.8 84.0 0.16 51.2 44.6
Max Walters - 27 17.9 4.5 3.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 4.3 4.4 -28 -1.1 -7.4 36.8 31.3 71.4 0.04 49.5 47.9
Ned Joyce - 30 18.3 3.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.4 -62 -2.4 -10.6 37.0 37.0 85.7 1.23 52.4 47.8
Isaiah Brewington - 30 7.7 3.2 1.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.1 2.7 -47 -1.7 -16.5 42.2 28.6 74.5 -0.02 55.0 43.8
Grant Coleman - 1 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 22 0.8 4.8 33.3 33.3 0.0 1.12 43.6 50.0
Mason Landdeck - 1 32.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -2.0 -44 -1.1 -4.0 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.93 9.7 11.1
Hugo Clarkin - 29 4.6 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 28 3.1 34.7 46.4 0.0 60.0 -0.31 48.0 46.4
Travis Hightower - 19 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.1 -1 -0.3 -12.2 28.6 0.0 50.0 -1.34 30.2 28.6
Taylor Keating - 29 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 6 0.9 26.2 66.7 0 50.0 -0.88 64.4 66.7
Jonas La Tour - 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 33 0.8 3.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.33 0.0 0.0
Nikias Schoenerstedt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.1 -1.3 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
David Zachman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -0.8 -32.5 0 0 0 -1.03 0 0
Donovan Desha - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cole Epperson - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayden Johnston - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG