Chico St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 998 (#186) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1006 (#184) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.6 (#77) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.708 (#210) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.695 (#121) | NetEff +7.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.828 (#214) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.835 (#213) | AdjNet +13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.714 (#222) | AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 71.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jojo Murphy | - | 29 | 34.3 | 20.2 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 21 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 47.4 | 39.0 | 80.0 | 1.35 | 59.2 | 55.4 |
| Trace Evans | - | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 112 | 3.0 | 11.8 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.27 | 73.8 | 75.0 |
| Owen Moriarty | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 124 | 4.4 | 11.6 | 38.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.35 | 54.2 | 46.2 |
| Trae Taylor | - | 29 | 28.0 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 14.2 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 73.9 | 0.0 | 72.6 | 0.98 | 75.6 | 73.9 |
| Isaiah Kerr | - | 28 | 31.8 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 8.9 | -97 | -3.9 | -16.2 | 46.1 | 35.7 | 72.2 | 0.95 | 56.5 | 53.3 |
| Julian Mora | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 101 | 5.9 | 37.1 | 44.4 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.32 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Jaxon Nap | - | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 72 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 83.3 | 1.11 | 78.5 | 70.0 |
| Caden Harris | - | 29 | 28.4 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 35 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 46.4 | 37.7 | 76.5 | 1.3 | 57.8 | 56.2 |
| Miles Daniels | - | 18 | 30.7 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 9.7 | -17 | -1.1 | -5.7 | 44.2 | 33.3 | 70.6 | 0.06 | 52.7 | 48.7 |
| Henry Sandberg | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 69 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.01 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Cortevious Taylor | - | 30 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 4.6 | -10 | -0.4 | -3.2 | 37.4 | 28.8 | 84.0 | 0.16 | 51.2 | 44.6 |
| Max Walters | - | 27 | 17.9 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 | -28 | -1.1 | -7.4 | 36.8 | 31.3 | 71.4 | 0.04 | 49.5 | 47.9 |
| Ned Joyce | - | 30 | 18.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | -62 | -2.4 | -10.6 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 85.7 | 1.23 | 52.4 | 47.8 |
| Isaiah Brewington | - | 30 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.7 | -47 | -1.7 | -16.5 | 42.2 | 28.6 | 74.5 | -0.02 | 55.0 | 43.8 |
| Grant Coleman | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 22 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.12 | 43.6 | 50.0 |
| Mason Landdeck | - | 1 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | -44 | -1.1 | -4.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.93 | 9.7 | 11.1 |
| Hugo Clarkin | - | 29 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 28 | 3.1 | 34.7 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.31 | 48.0 | 46.4 |
| Travis Hightower | - | 19 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -1 | -0.3 | -12.2 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.34 | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| Taylor Keating | - | 29 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | 0.9 | 26.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.88 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Jonas La Tour | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 33 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nikias Schoenerstedt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| David Zachman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.8 | -32.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovan Desha | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Epperson | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Johnston | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG