Chicago State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#371) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1006 (#153) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.5 (#451) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#205) | HCA +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.443 (#209) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.406 (#206) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.415 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 929 (#204) | RD 143 | GP 31 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ | Northwestern | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Denver | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2003-12-04 | @ | Green Bay | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2003-12-06 | @ | Purdue | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2003-12-13 | @ | Murray State | L | 80 - 100 |
| 2003-12-15 | @ | Detroit Mercy | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2003-12-20 | N | Florida State | L | 42 - 47 |
| 2003-12-22 | N | Wagner | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2003-12-23 | @ | Houston | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2003-12-27 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | DePaul | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2004-01-05 | vs | Kansas City | L | 66 - 84 |
| 2004-01-08 | vs | Oakland | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Southern Utah | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2004-01-19 | vs | TAMUCC | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2004-01-24 | @ | Western Illinois | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2004-01-29 | @ | IU Indy | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Oakland | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2004-02-05 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Valparaiso | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2004-02-12 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | IU Indy | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2004-02-19 | @ | Oral Roberts | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | Kansas City | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2004-03-02 | @ | Valparaiso | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2004-03-07 | N | Centenary (LA) | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2004-03-08 | N | IU Indy | L | 47 - 68 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Franklin | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tony Weeden | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rubeen Perry | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Royce Parran | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeleel Akindele | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tony Hansbro | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leon Petty | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nate Carter | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Geoff Richard | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Suresh May | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brandon McKinnie | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Terren Wilson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Arthur Talley | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG