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Chicago State

Also known as: Chicago State Cougars
Program History

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 740 (#268) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 753 (#269) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More โ†’ 887 (#256) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ -9.4 (#237) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -10.7 (#248) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.135 (#279) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.151 (#251) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#250) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 72.2 More โ†’ 0.306 (#241) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 75.3 More โ†’ 0.320 (#261) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.235 (#255) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.238 (#259) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 26 More โ†’ 734 (#272) RD 148 | GP 26

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-26 vs Southern Illinois L 60 - 73
1989-11-28 @ Minnesota L 62 - 85
1989-12-02 @ Illinois L 62 - 82
1989-12-04 @ Grambling L 80 - 85
1989-12-09 @ Detroit Mercy L 70 - 81
1989-12-11 @ Michigan L 57 - 84
1989-12-16 vs Central Michigan L 62 - 66
1989-12-20 @ Marquette L 45 - 77
1989-12-28 @ Green Bay L 39 - 60
1989-12-30 vs Southern L 73 - 81
1990-01-03 @ Oklahoma State L 59 - 67
1990-01-06 vs Grambling W 71 - 63
1990-01-10 @ Wright State L 72 - 95
1990-01-13 @ Southern Utah L 71 - 83
1990-01-16 @ Nebraska L 57 - 92
1990-01-20 vs Youngstown State W 82 - 64
1990-01-22 @ Southern Illinois L 58 - 70
1990-01-30 vs Eastern Illinois L 64 - 80
1990-02-02 @ Western Kentucky L 80 - 88
1990-02-05 @ Tennessee State W 63 - 61
1990-02-08 vs Southern Utah L 78 - 83
1990-02-12 @ Northern Iowa L 81 - 96
1990-02-19 @ Youngstown State L 64 - 78
1990-02-24 @ Northern Illinois L 55 - 63
1990-03-03 vs Wright State L 94 - 112
1990-03-07 vs Kansas City W 88 - 84

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.