Chicago State
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 740 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 753 (#269) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 887 (#256) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.4 (#237) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -10.7 (#248) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.135 (#279) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.151 (#251) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.150 (#250) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.306 (#241) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.320 (#261) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.235 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.238 (#259) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 734 (#272) | RD 148 | GP 26 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-26 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 60 - 73 |
| 1989-11-28 | @ | Minnesota | L | 62 - 85 |
| 1989-12-02 | @ | Illinois | L | 62 - 82 |
| 1989-12-04 | @ | Grambling | L | 80 - 85 |
| 1989-12-09 | @ | Detroit Mercy | L | 70 - 81 |
| 1989-12-11 | @ | Michigan | L | 57 - 84 |
| 1989-12-16 | vs | Central Michigan | L | 62 - 66 |
| 1989-12-20 | @ | Marquette | L | 45 - 77 |
| 1989-12-28 | @ | Green Bay | L | 39 - 60 |
| 1989-12-30 | vs | Southern | L | 73 - 81 |
| 1990-01-03 | @ | Oklahoma State | L | 59 - 67 |
| 1990-01-06 | vs | Grambling | W | 71 - 63 |
| 1990-01-10 | @ | Wright State | L | 72 - 95 |
| 1990-01-13 | @ | Southern Utah | L | 71 - 83 |
| 1990-01-16 | @ | Nebraska | L | 57 - 92 |
| 1990-01-20 | vs | Youngstown State | W | 82 - 64 |
| 1990-01-22 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 58 - 70 |
| 1990-01-30 | vs | Eastern Illinois | L | 64 - 80 |
| 1990-02-02 | @ | Western Kentucky | L | 80 - 88 |
| 1990-02-05 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 63 - 61 |
| 1990-02-08 | vs | Southern Utah | L | 78 - 83 |
| 1990-02-12 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 81 - 96 |
| 1990-02-19 | @ | Youngstown State | L | 64 - 78 |
| 1990-02-24 | @ | Northern Illinois | L | 55 - 63 |
| 1990-03-03 | vs | Wright State | L | 94 - 112 |
| 1990-03-07 | vs | Kansas City | W | 88 - 84 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.