Chicago State
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
68.0
PPG
78.8
Opp
-10.8
Margin
43.2%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
31.4
RPG
10.2
APG
16.0
TO
67.1
Est. poss./game
65.6
Adj PPG
72.5
Adj Opp PPG
#323
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 731 (#323) | Preseason prior 672 (returning production + recruiting): last season 806, returning -16, transfers -87, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 883 (#300) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 886 (#297) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.9 (#336) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.9 (#338) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.170 (#299) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.215 (#338) | AdjNet -15.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.227 (#333) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.312 (#323) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.313 (#323) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.261 (#319) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.261 (#319) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 846 (#310) | RD 152 | GP 5 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.230 (#341) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Texas Longhorns | L | 59 - 109 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Incarnate Word Cardinals | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | South Carolina State Bulldogs | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | California Baptist Lancers | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | San Diego Toreros | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Loyola Marymount Lions | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | UIC Flames | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Price
|
G | 5 | 27.4 | 21.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 7.6 | -44 | 2 | -22.0 | -30.8 | 43.4 | 41.7 | 73.0 | -1.55 | 58.5 | 53.3 |
Will Lovings-Watts
|
G | 5 | 24.2 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 5.6 | -35 | 2 | -17.5 | -27.3 | 44.4 | 38.5 | 83.3 | -0.23 | 56.9 | 51.4 |
Armari Carraway
|
G | 4 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 3.5 | -24 | 2 | -12.0 | -37.7 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -2.28 | 65.1 | 60.0 |
Foday Sheriff
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 7.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -12.1 | 56.5 | 50.0 | 58.3 | 0.01 | 61.9 | 60.9 |
Malik Olafioye
|
G | 5 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | -23 | 2 | -11.5 | -23.3 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.74 | 43.2 | 36.7 |
Andre Stanton
|
F | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -19.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Kameron Foman
|
G | 5 | 24.0 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 9.0 | -30 | 2 | -15.0 | -25.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.56 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
Davius Loury
|
F | 5 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 2.2 | -24 | 2 | -12.0 | -32.1 | 33.3 | 23.1 | 100.0 | -1.07 | 47.2 | 43.3 |
Bryan Akanmu
|
F | 5 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | -28 | 2 | -14.0 | -31.6 | 63.6 | 0 | 0 | -0.85 | 63.6 | 63.6 |
Malek Robinson
|
G | 5 | 21.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.0 | -40 | 2 | -20.0 | -37.7 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.45 | 39.8 | 18.2 |
Lohan Stephane Djiya
|
F | 3 | 12.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | -13 | 1 | -13.0 | -49.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.25 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
Ben Kalonji
|
C | 5 | 15.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.2 | -36 | 2 | -18.0 | -90.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.78 | 44.4 | 42.9 |
Najee Graham
|
G | 2 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | -18 | 1 | -18.0 | -43.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Kaleb Popotte
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Lyonel Hodges Jr.
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -13.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jaylen Pazon
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
266 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mike PriceWill Lovings-WattsArmari CarrawayFoday SheriffMalik OlafioyeKameron FomanBryan AkanmuDavius Loury
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 39-59 | 66.1 | 78 | Kameron Foman 21% (16 pts) | Foday Sheriff 18% (14 pts) | Will Lovings-Watts 20% (4 misses) | Malik Olafioye 15% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-57 | 36.8 | 42 | Bryan Akanmu 24% (10 pts) | Mike Price 24% (10 pts) | Foday Sheriff 17% (6 misses) | Malik Olafioye 17% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-14 | 42.9 | 12 | Foday Sheriff 33% (4 pts) | Bryan Akanmu 17% (2 pts) | Mike Price 38% (3 misses) | Foday Sheriff 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Malik Olafioye 67% (4 pts) | Foday Sheriff 33% (2 pts) | Malik Olafioye 38% (3 misses) | Will Lovings-Watts 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 13-28 | 46.4 | 26 | Mike Price 54% (14 pts) | Malik Olafioye 15% (4 pts) | Mike Price 60% (9 misses) | Armari Carraway 13% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Will Lovings-Watts 67% (6 pts) | Davius Loury 33% (3 pts) | Will Lovings-Watts 40% (2 misses) | Armari Carraway 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Mike Price 50% (3 pts) | Will Lovings-Watts 50% (3 pts) | Will Lovings-Watts 40% (2 misses) | Kameron Foman 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-34 | 29.4 | 30 | Mike Price 50% (15 pts) | Armari Carraway 30% (9 pts) | Davius Loury 29% (7 misses) | Mike Price 29% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-17 | 35.3 | 18 | Mike Price 50% (9 pts) | Armari Carraway 33% (6 pts) | Mike Price 64% (7 misses) | Armari Carraway 9% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 12-31 | 38.7 | 36 | Mike Price 50% (18 pts) | Armari Carraway 25% (9 pts) | Armari Carraway 32% (6 misses) | Mike Price 32% (6 misses) |