🐻⬇️🏀

Cheyney

Season: 2026 2022
Also known as: Cheyney
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1041 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1016 (#328) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.2 (#395) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#397) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.237 (#498) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.3 More → 0.231 (#498) AdjNet -10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 85.0 More → 0.337 (#497) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 85.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.510 (#383) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.453 (#441) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.461 (#439) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1067 (#267) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-22 @ Penn St. Brandywine W 83 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nathan Pettus Jr. - 1 38.5 21.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 19.0 -23 -4.6 -15.8 46.2 33.3 70.0 0.07 60.3 53.8
Joshua Blackmon - 1 31.9 19.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 7.0 - - - 61.5 50.0 0 - 73.1 73.1
Clyde Frasier - 1 12.9 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 25.0 0 70.0 - 53.6 25.0
Malcolm Muhammad - 1 21.2 7.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 25 1.6 25.8 60.0 0 50.0 1.91 59.5 60.0
Ali Khan - 1 28.4 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 80.0 - 48.4 25.0
D'Angelo Lake - 1 14.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 58.1 66.7
Jalen Long - 1 8.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Lavion Morales - 1 14.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Dajer Muldrow - 1 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG