Chattanooga
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
67.0
PPG
59.0
Opp
+8.0
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
62.3%
FT%
39.8
RPG
13.3
APG
14.3
TO
69.6
Est. poss./game
59.8
Adj PPG
61.2
Adj Opp PPG
#198
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 909 (#225) | Preseason prior 904 (returning production + recruiting): last season 981, returning -78, transfers +0, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 930 (#227) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 932 (#227) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.5 (#183) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.4 (#182) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.324 (#197) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.410 (#196) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.382 (#212) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.427 (#198) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.428 (#198) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 930 (#219) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.363 (#221) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | UVA Wise Cavaliers | W | 85 - 44 |
| 2026-11-04 | @ | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Florida Gators | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Northern Kentucky Norse | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Lipscomb Bisons | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TaTianna Stovall
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.2 | 16 | 4 | 4.0 | 7.1 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 72.2 | 2.03 | 52.0 | 46.6 |
Izzy McPherson
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 18 | 4 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 41.0 | 33.3 | 70.0 | 0.63 | 50.7 | 47.4 |
Gabbie Grooms
|
G | 4 | 24.0 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 11 | 4 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 34.3 | 27.3 | 87.5 | 0.37 | 44.1 | 38.6 |
Lydia Ledford
|
G | 4 | 20.2 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 8.3 | 45.8 | 42.9 | 77.8 | 0.36 | 57.2 | 52.1 |
Evie Bruce
|
F | 4 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 41 | 4 | 10.2 | 33.2 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 2.76 | 77.0 | 81.2 |
Sarah Owona
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 4.0 | -4 | 4 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 34.6 | 21.4 | 100.0 | -2.22 | 45.0 | 40.4 |
Ava Card
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 40.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | -1.84 | 42.1 | 43.2 |
London Weaver
|
G | 4 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 28 | 4 | 7.0 | 16.7 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 66.6 | 59.1 |
Falon Bedke
|
F | 4 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -4.5 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.24 | 43.5 | 57.1 |
Aaliyah Story
|
F | 4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 4 | 4.5 | 35.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.35 | 75.2 | 100.0 |
Caelan Ellis
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sinae Hill
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kami Wilson
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 1 | 13.0 | 50.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
228 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
TaTianna StovallIzzy McPhersonGabbie GroomsEvie BruceLydia LedfordSarah Owona
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 44-61 | 72.1 | 88 | TaTianna Stovall 27% (24 pts) | Ava Card 14% (12 pts) | TaTianna Stovall 29% (5 misses) | Gabbie Grooms 24% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 28-65 | 43.1 | 56 | TaTianna Stovall 25% (14 pts) | Izzy McPherson 14% (8 pts) | TaTianna Stovall 32% (12 misses) | Gabbie Grooms 19% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-16 | 43.8 | 14 | Gabbie Grooms 43% (6 pts) | Evie Bruce 29% (4 pts) | Izzy McPherson 56% (5 misses) | TaTianna Stovall 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 4 | Evie Bruce 50% (2 pts) | Lydia Ledford 50% (2 pts) | Izzy McPherson 50% (3 misses) | TaTianna Stovall 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-19 | 15.8 | 6 | Izzy McPherson 67% (4 pts) | Ava Card 33% (2 pts) | Izzy McPherson 25% (4 misses) | Ava Card 19% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Lydia Ledford 50% (6 pts) | Izzy McPherson 25% (3 pts) | Izzy McPherson 67% (2 misses) | Sarah Owona 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Evie Bruce 100% (3 pts) | - | Izzy McPherson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | Gabbie Grooms 29% (6 pts) | Ava Card 14% (3 pts) | Gabbie Grooms 24% (4 misses) | Sarah Owona 24% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Izzy McPherson 75% (9 pts) | Sarah Owona 25% (3 pts) | Izzy McPherson 75% (3 misses) | Sarah Owona 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-18 | 16.7 | 9 | Evie Bruce 33% (3 pts) | Gabbie Grooms 33% (3 pts) | Sarah Owona 33% (5 misses) | Gabbie Grooms 27% (4 misses) |