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Charleston

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Charleston Cougars
Program History
Coach: Amanda Butler

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

81.5
PPG
48.5
Opp
+33.0
Margin
49.1%
FG%
46.5%
3P%
79.5%
FT%
38.5
RPG
16.5
APG
18.5
TO
70.7
Est. poss./game
61.8
Adj PPG
62.2
Adj Opp PPG
#183
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 966 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1093, returning -56, transfers -72, freshmen +0 More → 970 (#178) Preseason prior 966 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1093, returning -56, transfers -72, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +190 elo More → 976 (#183) HCA +190 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +189 elo More → 990 (#179) HCA +189 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → -3.0 (#192) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More → -3.0 (#192) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.576 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.489 (#157) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.6 More → 0.488 (#158) AdjNet +3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.464 (#183) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.474 (#179) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.467 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.470 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 980 (#178) RD 218 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.437 (#179) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Berry Vikings W 92 - 43
2026-11-07 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 71 - 54
2026-11-10 @ USC Trojans - Preview
2026-11-12 @ California Golden Bears - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isla Juffermans Isla Juffermans F 2 22.5 15.0 9.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 3.5 8.0 16.5 46 2 23.0 42.1 68.8 0 66.7 2.69 70.5 68.8
Janna Vogelaar Janna Vogelaar G 2 26.5 14.0 6.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 3.0 7.0 16.0 47 2 23.5 35.7 57.1 80.0 80.0 1.8 76.1 71.4
Anilys Rolon Anilys Rolon G 2 27.0 13.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 11.0 6.5 50 2 25.0 35.8 40.9 42.1 50.0 1.3 59.0 59.1
Abby Jegede Abby Jegede G 2 23.5 10.5 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 7.0 9.0 51 2 25.5 43.0 42.9 0.0 90.0 2.1 57.1 42.9
Dakara Merthie Dakara Merthie G 2 14.0 10.0 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.5 22 2 11.0 32.1 70.0 66.7 100.0 0.74 91.9 90.0
Mia James Mia James G 2 17.5 7.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 9.0 27 2 13.5 31.0 57.1 50.0 100.0 -0.07 79.9 71.4
Tyja Beans Tyja Beans G 1 21.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 13 1 13.0 24.1 50.0 0 0 -0.11 50.0 50.0
Aubrey Stevenson Aubrey Stevenson G 2 17.5 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 4.0 22 2 11.0 25.1 75.0 0 0 -2.87 75.0 75.0
Chanel Ndi Chanel Ndi F 2 21.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 -1.0 25 2 12.5 23.1 18.2 0 100.0 -0.91 25.3 18.2
Maggie Spell Maggie Spell G 2 8.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 20 2 10.0 51.7 50.0 50.0 0 1.13 75.0 75.0
Camila De Pool Camila De Pool G 2 11.5 0.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 7 2 3.5 12.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.59 10.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

110 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Juffermans33% Juffermans30% Juffermans100% James100% Vogelaar100% Rolon100% Rolon45% Vogelaar67% Merthie33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ndi25% Ndi27% Vogelaar100% Jegede50% Ndi33% James67% Jegede100% Rolon60% Rolon50% Rolon64%
Misses: who misses most here

Anilys RolonIsla JuffermansJanna VogelaarDakara MerthieAbby JegedeMia JamesChanel Ndi

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 12-28 42.9 24 Isla Juffermans 33% (8 pts) Abby Jegede 25% (6 pts) Chanel Ndi 25% (4 misses) Isla Juffermans 25% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 20-31 64.5 40 Isla Juffermans 30% (12 pts) Abby Jegede 15% (6 pts) Chanel Ndi 27% (3 misses) Abby Jegede 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Janna Vogelaar 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Isla Juffermans 100% (2 pts) - Abby Jegede 50% (1 misses) Chanel Ndi 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Mia James 100% (2 pts) - Chanel Ndi 33% (1 misses) Janna Vogelaar 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Janna Vogelaar 100% (3 pts) - Mia James 67% (2 misses) Maggie Spell 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Anilys Rolon 100% (6 pts) - Abby Jegede 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 11-16 68.8 33 Anilys Rolon 45% (15 pts) Dakara Merthie 27% (9 pts) Anilys Rolon 60% (3 misses) Camila De Pool 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-5 60.0 9 Janna Vogelaar 67% (6 pts) Anilys Rolon 33% (3 pts) Anilys Rolon 50% (1 misses) Maggie Spell 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-14 21.4 9 Dakara Merthie 33% (3 pts) Janna Vogelaar 33% (3 pts) Anilys Rolon 64% (7 misses) Abby Jegede 9% (1 misses)