Charleston Southern
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 636 (#355) | Preseason prior 657 (returning production + recruiting): last season 816, returning -88, transfers -70, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 760 (#353) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 763 (#353) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.5 (#344) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.4 (#344) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#309) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.108 (#346) | AdjNet -21.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.106 (#346) | AdjNet -21.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.214 (#330) | AdjO 50.3 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.216 (#328) | AdjO 50.3 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.145 (#346) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.145 (#346) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 730 (#353) | RD 183 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.105 (#347) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | East Carolina Pirates | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Charleston Cougars | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Mercer Bears | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | L | 33 - 102 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Davidson Wildcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Furman Paladins | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zara Sestan
|
G | 3 | 33.7 | 13.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 6.7 | 14.3 | -0.3 | -27 | 2 | -13.5 | -15.8 | 34.9 | 29.2 | 50.0 | -2.18 | 43.6 | 43.0 |
Ashleigh Battle
|
G | 3 | 36.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 9.7 | 5.0 | -29 | 3 | -9.7 | -10.6 | 37.9 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -1.43 | 45.5 | 41.4 |
Celina Vilcinskas
|
C | 3 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -17.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.43 | 48.8 | 50.0 |
Anica Skrivan
|
F | 4 | 17.0 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 2.2 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -6.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.96 | 46.4 | 40.0 |
Lauren Cummings
|
G | 4 | 26.2 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 4.8 | -41 | 3 | -13.7 | -22.1 | 43.8 | 0 | 42.9 | -4.54 | 44.5 | 43.8 |
Iva Medugorac
|
G | 4 | 17.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -9.2 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -1.53 | 43.1 | 34.6 |
Selenay Tanik
|
F | 4 | 18.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 23.5 | 25.0 | 57.1 | 0.36 | 32.4 | 26.5 |
Iva Cholakoska
|
G | 4 | 22.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.2 | -2.5 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -17.9 | 19.0 | 23.5 | 0 | -2.04 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
Sofia Ekh
|
G | 4 | 23.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.8 | -0.8 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -18.4 | 26.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -5.0 | 37.8 | 36.7 |
Rochelle Afo Manuma
|
G | 2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -107.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.79 | 0 | 0 |
Happy Arune
|
C | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Alaina Nettles
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Berta Oliveras
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Bayan Salman
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
193 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Zara SestanAshleigh BattleCelina VilcinskasAnica SkrivanLauren CummingsIva CholakoskaSelenay Tanik
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 25-40 | 62.5 | 50 | Celina Vilcinskas 24% (12 pts) | Zara Sestan 20% (10 pts) | Celina Vilcinskas 33% (5 misses) | Lauren Cummings 20% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-57 | 28.1 | 32 | Ashleigh Battle 25% (8 pts) | Anica Skrivan 19% (6 pts) | Zara Sestan 22% (9 misses) | Anica Skrivan 20% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Lauren Cummings 50% (2 pts) | Selenay Tanik 50% (2 pts) | Lauren Cummings 43% (3 misses) | Sofia Ekh 43% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Anica Skrivan 50% (2 pts) | Ashleigh Battle 50% (2 pts) | Ashleigh Battle 67% (2 misses) | Iva Cholakoska 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Zara Sestan 67% (4 pts) | Ashleigh Battle 33% (2 pts) | Selenay Tanik 33% (3 misses) | Iva Cholakoska 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Ashleigh Battle 100% (3 pts) | - | Zara Sestan 43% (3 misses) | Iva Cholakoska 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Iva Cholakoska 50% (3 pts) | Zara Sestan 50% (3 pts) | Zara Sestan 57% (4 misses) | Iva Cholakoska 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-20 | 25.0 | 15 | Zara Sestan 60% (9 pts) | Iva Cholakoska 20% (3 pts) | Ashleigh Battle 27% (4 misses) | Zara Sestan 27% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-13 | 23.1 | 9 | Zara Sestan 67% (6 pts) | Sofia Ekh 33% (3 pts) | Iva Cholakoska 30% (3 misses) | Zara Sestan 30% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-20 | 35.0 | 21 | Iva Cholakoska 29% (6 pts) | Sofia Ekh 29% (6 pts) | Iva Cholakoska 31% (4 misses) | Ashleigh Battle 23% (3 misses) |