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Charleston Southern

Also known as: Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

73.7
PPG
76.3
Opp
-2.7
Margin
43.0%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
66.2%
FT%
42.3
RPG
15.3
APG
15.0
TO
69.6
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
75.0
Adj Opp PPG
#313
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 743 (returning production + recruiting): last season 890, returning -46, transfers -71, freshmen -30 More โ†’ 736 (#320) Preseason prior 743 (returning production + recruiting): last season 890, returning -46, transfers -71, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 854 (#332) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 858 (#332) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -11.8 (#312) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -11.7 (#310) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.135 (#319) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.9 More โ†’ 0.267 (#315) AdjNet -14.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.4 More โ†’ 0.268 (#311) AdjNet -14.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 75.0 More โ†’ 0.325 (#313) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 75.0 More โ†’ 0.327 (#313) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.258 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.258 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 197 | GP 2 More โ†’ 826 (#327) RD 197 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.245 (#328) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ South Florida Bulls L 71 - 98
2026-11-05 vs Columbia International Rams W 86 - 49
2026-11-10 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 64 - 82
2026-11-14 vs West Georgia Wolves - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Wofford Terriers - Preview
2026-11-21 @ Mercer Bears - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Ruffolo Anthony Ruffolo G 3 28.0 15.3 5.7 4.3 1.7 0.0 3.0 14.7 9.3 -2 3 -0.7 -0.9 40.9 29.4 83.3 -0.36 49.3 46.6
Jefferson McLamb Jefferson McLamb G 3 27.7 11.3 3.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 10.0 4.0 15 3 5.0 7.2 40.0 34.8 33.3 0.83 52.1 53.3
Lase Olalere Lase Olalere F 3 22.7 11.3 8.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.7 6.0 16.3 32 3 10.7 18.6 66.7 0 62.5 1.47 67.9 66.7
Jackson Crawford Jackson Crawford G 3 31.3 9.7 3.7 4.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 6.7 11.7 17 3 5.7 7.3 35.0 25.0 81.2 0.66 53.6 40.0
DJ Hubbard DJ Hubbard G 3 30.3 9.7 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 8.0 3.7 1 3 0.3 0.4 45.8 25.0 57.1 -0.45 53.5 52.1
Jacob Taylor Jacob Taylor G 2 28.5 8.0 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 4.5 8.5 -30 2 -15.0 -21.0 55.6 40.0 66.7 -2.07 68.7 66.7
Nicholas Errica Nicholas Errica G 3 22.0 5.7 4.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3 7.7 1.3 -25 3 -8.3 -15.4 21.7 20.0 71.4 -1.56 32.6 26.1
Tito Deng Tito Deng F 2 10.0 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.5 -8 2 -4.0 -16.2 57.1 0 50.0 -0.59 57.1 57.1
Mathok Majok Mathok Majok F 2 16.0 3.5 4.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 8.5 -32 2 -16.0 -40.6 100.0 0 50.0 -2.16 90.2 100.0
Devin Brafford Devin Brafford F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Riley Brooks Riley Brooks G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Alex Harper Alex Harper G 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 -8 1 -8.0 -63.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.57 0.0 0.0
Marquise Leslie Marquise Leslie F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

179 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ruffolo23% Ruffolo24% McLamb100% McLamb30% Ruffolo50% McLamb40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ruffolo33% Ruffolo26% Hubbard50% Ruffolo100% Ruffolo100% Errica50% McLamb31% Ruffolo31% McLamb42%
Misses: who misses most here

Anthony RuffoloJefferson McLambDJ HubbardNicholas Errica

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 30-42 71.4 60 Anthony Ruffolo 23% (14 pts) Lase Olalere 23% (14 pts) Anthony Ruffolo 33% (4 misses) Nicholas Errica 17% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 25-59 42.4 50 Anthony Ruffolo 24% (12 pts) Lase Olalere 20% (10 pts) Anthony Ruffolo 26% (9 misses) Nicholas Errica 24% (8 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - DJ Hubbard 50% (1 misses) Jacob Taylor 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Anthony Ruffolo 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Jefferson McLamb 100% (3 pts) - Anthony Ruffolo 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 0-4 0.0 0 - - Nicholas Errica 50% (2 misses) DJ Hubbard 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 10-26 38.5 30 Jefferson McLamb 30% (9 pts) DJ Hubbard 20% (6 pts) Jefferson McLamb 31% (5 misses) Anthony Ruffolo 12% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 6-19 31.6 18 Anthony Ruffolo 50% (9 pts) Jefferson McLamb 33% (6 pts) Anthony Ruffolo 31% (4 misses) DJ Hubbard 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-24 20.8 15 Jefferson McLamb 40% (6 pts) Anthony Ruffolo 20% (3 pts) Jefferson McLamb 42% (8 misses) Anthony Ruffolo 26% (5 misses)