Charleston (WV)
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1158 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1129 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#64) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.2 (#112) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.4 (#99) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.761 (#47) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.806 (#95) | AdjNet +12.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.809 (#95) | AdjNet +12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.693 (#91) | AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#67) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.727 (#81) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.716 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1148 (#71) | RD 126 | GP 29 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Seton Hill | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-14 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 99 - 68 |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 96 - 99 |
| 2018-11-19 | @ | Shepherd | L | 93 - 101 |
| 2018-11-25 | vs | Edinboro | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-28 | @ | Concord | L | 100 - 106 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2018-12-05 | @ | Urbana | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Notre Dame (OH) | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-19 | @ | Malone | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-03 | vs | Ky. Christian | W | 95 - 65 |
| 2019-01-10 | @ | Wheeling | W | 91 - 74 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | West Liberty | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-17 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Glenville St. | W | 99 - 81 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Concord | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | West Virginia St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-30 | vs | Urbana | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Notre Dame (OH) | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2019-02-07 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | Glenville St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | vs | Wheeling | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | West Liberty | W | 88 - 87 |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Fairmont St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Shepherd | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-27 | @ | UVA Wise | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2019-03-08 | vs | Concord | L | 62 - 74 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.