Charleston (WV)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#184) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1095 (#110) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1150 (#31) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#73) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.2 (#86) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.819 (#149) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.828 (#216) | NetEff +15.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.882 (#156) | AdjNet +17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.870 (#180) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.758 (#172) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.751 (#37) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.807 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.804 (#57) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1193 (#53) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mansfield | W | 107 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Millersville | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | California (PA) | L | 60 - 90 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Daemen | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 94 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Concord | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | West Liberty | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Wheeling | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Fairmont St. | W | 85 - 63 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Point Park | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 85 - 64 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 100 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 90 - 86 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Concord | W | 102 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wheeling | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | West Liberty | L | 84 - 89 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Frostburg St. | W | 96 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shelton | - | 18 | 23.4 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 57 | 3.4 | 15.9 | 55.3 | 36.1 | 71.2 | 2.12 | 64.9 | 62.3 |
| Thomas Hailey | - | 20 | 26.2 | 13.0 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 113 | 5.7 | 29.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 47.1 | 1.98 | 65.2 | 66.7 |
| Braden Chapman | - | 20 | 27.0 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 118 | 5.9 | 30.5 | 44.5 | 39.0 | 81.4 | 0.2 | 57.9 | 52.4 |
| Kaden Davis | - | 20 | 20.1 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.2 | 57.7 | 44.2 | 68.8 | -1.48 | 68.2 | 66.5 |
| Hamilton Campbell | - | 20 | 23.8 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 11.4 | 82 | 4.1 | 24.1 | 52.2 | 40.7 | 82.8 | -1.93 | 67.1 | 64.6 |
| Ben Nicol | - | 20 | 23.2 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 103 | 5.4 | 30.8 | 41.6 | 42.3 | 90.0 | 1.71 | 62.4 | 56.2 |
| Eli Robertson | - | 18 | 12.1 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 16 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 52.6 | 51.6 | 66.7 | -3.07 | 73.8 | 73.7 |
| Trevor Barrett | - | 19 | 18.7 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 40 | 2.1 | 16.2 | 40.7 | 37.3 | 70.0 | 1.09 | 54.3 | 51.7 |
| Jalen Rivens | - | 20 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.3 | -37 | -1.9 | -20.8 | 59.1 | 52.0 | 50.0 | -2.63 | 72.9 | 73.9 |
| Levon Jacobs | - | 13 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -23 | -1.9 | -58.3 | 57.7 | 37.5 | 63.6 | -2.29 | 64.9 | 63.5 |
| Ayinde Taylor II | - | 19 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 3.9 | -41 | -2.3 | -21.5 | 34.8 | 29.2 | 85.0 | -2.14 | 51.1 | 42.4 |
| Rico Carr-Cole | - | 6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -8 | -1.6 | -63.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Logan Phillips | - | 6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -2 | -0.4 | -19.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Lowe | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Edvard Kristiansen | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG