Chapman
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1166 (#33) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.5 (#94) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-09 | @ | George Fox | W | 91 - 78 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2023-11-16 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | West Coast Baptist | W | 82 - 50 |
| 2023-11-29 | vs | Occidental | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2023-12-07 | vs | Stanton | W | 88 - 59 |
| 2023-12-08 | vs | West Coast Baptist | W | 111 - 66 |
| 2023-12-10 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 104 - 93 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2023-12-20 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2023-12-28 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 59 - 86 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Caltech | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | La Verne | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2024-01-15 | vs | Redlands | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Whittier | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Occidental | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Caltech | W | 91 - 54 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Whittier | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | La Verne | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2024-02-20 | @ | Redlands | L | 60 - 91 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 76 - 85 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kessinger | - | 1 | 26.0 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | -11 | -3.7 | -6.2 | 58.3 | 83.3 | 75.0 | 0.27 | 79.9 | 79.2 |
| Blakeley Stoughton | - | 22 | 30.5 | 17.3 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 13.1 | 11.0 | 11 | 1.6 | 14.0 | 50.9 | 35.3 | 68.7 | 0.22 | 59.8 | 58.0 |
| Rhett Carter | - | 1 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jake Heberle | - | 23 | 32.4 | 15.9 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 13.3 | 34 | 2.0 | 37.3 | 49.1 | 45.8 | 81.9 | 0.29 | 67.3 | 62.2 |
| Will Householter | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -15.3 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 91.6 | 80.0 |
| McKelary Robertson | - | 17 | 25.4 | 13.6 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 10.6 | 8.1 | -4 | -0.7 | -6.5 | 45.3 | 36.6 | 79.1 | -0.48 | 58.0 | 54.7 |
| Cruz Billings | - | 19 | 28.8 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 8.6 | 15 | 0.8 | 25.1 | 39.3 | 33.3 | 80.6 | -0.48 | 55.3 | 47.9 |
| Caden Breznikar | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.31 | 84.6 | 75.0 |
| Treyson Keating | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 8 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Caelan Jones | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.7 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Zino Okah | - | 1 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -48 | -8.0 | -31.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.32 | 41.0 | 31.2 |
| Ian McCloskey | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -51 | -8.5 | -46.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.32 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Will King | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -16.6 | 16.7 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.2 | 40.5 | 16.7 |
| Matt Meredith | - | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -14.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.69 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Joe Espy | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -51 | -4.2 | -39.3 | 14.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 31.1 | 14.3 |
| Murphy Caffo | - | 24 | 15.5 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 39 | 4.3 | 299.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.71 | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Nelson Etuk | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.54 | 72.7 | 83.3 |
| Zach Granberry | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -10.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 36.3 | 41.7 |
| Tyler Dutto | - | 25 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 5.6 | -21 | -2.6 | -50.0 | 44.3 | 26.3 | 59.0 | -0.14 | 50.4 | 47.2 |
| Adam Damian | - | 17 | 19.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 32.4 | 14.8 | 71.4 | - | 40.8 | 35.3 |
| Kyle Lewis | - | 20 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | -16 | -2.7 | -7.2 | 50.0 | 43.5 | 76.9 | 0.95 | 62.8 | 60.0 |
| Christian Bood | - | 21 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 36.7 | 32.1 | 33.3 | - | 42.3 | 42.4 |
| Andrew Ingalls | - | 24 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | -15 | -2.1 | -23.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 57.9 | 0.08 | 58.8 | 57.1 |
| James Frye | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -24 | -3.0 | -35.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Connor Stechschulte | - | 24 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 26.9 | 25.0 | 63.6 | - | 36.9 | 33.7 |
| Scott Schulz | - | 23 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Alex Kim | - | 23 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 94 | 6.7 | 38.7 | 76.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.23 | 67.8 | 76.9 |
| Selden Pickens | - | 18 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 47.2 | 46.7 |
| Max Morelli | - | 13 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | - | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Carlo Billings | - | 22 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 15 | 0.8 | 25.1 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | -0.48 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Sean McCarthy | - | 18 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 42.9 | - | 68.9 | 100.0 |
| Nick Saccacio | - | 17 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 35.1 | 33.3 |
| Nygle Williams | - | 21 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 5 | 2.5 | 70.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 28.6 | -1.01 | 44.1 | 50.0 |
| Jack Anderson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Brookes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Lawrence | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Moon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Morris | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Wilson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -52 | -8.7 | -31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Yasukochi | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Gregg | - | 15 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG