Chaminade
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 749 (#527) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 671 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 717 (#695) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.8 (#267) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.5 (#634) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.103 (#535) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.017 (#444) | NetEff -30.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.144 (#561) | AdjNet -15.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.143 (#562) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.283 (#570) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.114 (#689) | AdjO 51.2 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#671) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#677) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 550 (#524) | RD 133 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 44 - 67 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 59 - 88 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | UC Merced | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Vanguard | L | 49 - 79 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 55 - 91 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Westmont | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Vanguard | L | 47 - 83 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Menlo | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 64 - 94 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Biola | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Westmont | L | 44 - 93 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Point Loma | L | 50 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | CUI | L | 38 - 70 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Biola | L | 39 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | L | 52 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Schuetze | - | 17 | 26.5 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 10.8 | 5.4 | -324 | -18.0 | -55.2 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 68.3 | -5.86 | 48.1 | 41.0 |
| Holly Dolny | - | 17 | 32.9 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 9.7 | 1.7 | -169 | -9.4 | -26.0 | 24.2 | 20.0 | 78.0 | -0.06 | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| Dezaray Carter | - | 3 | 20.5 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 73.3 | - | 60.7 | 50.0 |
| Julien Parado | - | 17 | 27.9 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 6.7 | 3.6 | -299 | -16.6 | -54.1 | 37.7 | 37.5 | 65.2 | -4.05 | 45.5 | 43.0 |
| Kylie Squier | - | 15 | 21.6 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 1.7 | -166 | -10.4 | -34.9 | 36.0 | 34.6 | 80.0 | 0.37 | 46.5 | 41.0 |
| Ashley Holen | - | 17 | 18.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | -178 | -9.9 | -49.7 | 28.1 | 24.4 | 71.4 | 0.13 | 42.3 | 34.3 |
| Selena Buttery | - | 17 | 28.4 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 5.3 | -218 | -12.1 | -39.0 | 31.6 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 0.56 | 44.8 | 43.7 |
| Maddy Weaver | - | 16 | 20.3 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 6.1 | -223 | -13.1 | -62.6 | 47.5 | 0 | 62.9 | -2.21 | 52.4 | 47.5 |
| Libby Hein | - | 7 | 17.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | -80 | -11.4 | -105.4 | 27.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.31 | 31.5 | 30.6 |
| Addison Sirianni | - | 17 | 16.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | -112 | -6.2 | -33.9 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.81 | 39.4 | 39.4 |
| Finley Gonzales | - | 6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -5 | -1.0 | -16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG