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Chadron St.

Also known as: Chadron St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 830 (#356) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 812 (#350) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.1 (#262) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.046 (#567) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.0 More → 0.113 (#335) NetEff -16.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.4 More → 0.159 (#550) AdjNet -14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.158 (#551) AdjNet -14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.307 (#546) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ Montana St. L 28 - 92
2024-11-09 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 64 - 73
2024-11-15 @ Mont. St. Billings L 60 - 77
2024-11-16 vs Simon Fraser L 55 - 81
2024-11-20 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 72 - 93
2024-11-25 vs York (NE) W 92 - 72
2024-11-30 vs Neb.-Kearney L 59 - 86
2024-12-05 vs South Dakota Mines W 71 - 67
2024-12-07 @ Black Hills St. L 52 - 60
2024-12-12 @ CSU Pueblo L 61 - 72
2024-12-14 @ UCCS L 66 - 82
2025-01-09 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 45 - 55
2025-01-11 vs Regis (CO) L 63 - 81
2025-01-16 @ Adams St. L 59 - 82
2025-01-18 @ N.M. Highlands L 76 - 95
2025-01-23 vs Westminster (UT) W 63 - 43
2025-01-25 vs Colorado Mesa L 49 - 79
2025-01-28 @ South Dakota Mines L 64 - 65
2025-01-30 vs Black Hills St. W 60 - 50
2025-02-06 vs Colo. Christian L 98 - 99
2025-02-08 vs CSU Pueblo L 77 - 86
2025-02-13 @ MSU Denver W 60 - 55
2025-02-15 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 57 - 87
2025-02-20 @ Western Colo. L 55 - 77
2025-02-22 @ Westminster (UT) L 66 - 69
2025-02-27 vs Fort Lewis W 83 - 72
2025-03-01 vs Adams St. L 67 - 68

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashayla Powers - 27 19.7 11.9 5.5 0.6 1.0 0.4 1.6 8.8 9.1 -8 -0.3 -0.5 51.7 50.0 72.1 0.22 56.7 51.9
Kylie Krise - 27 25.4 9.7 5.0 1.4 0.4 0.5 2.4 7.9 6.7 -60 -2.3 -2.9 35.4 33.1 79.8 -0.29 52.2 45.0
Kyra Tanabe - 27 25.7 8.5 2.8 2.7 0.9 0.0 2.8 7.8 4.4 -122 -3.3 -3.9 36.7 28.7 85.5 -1.24 48.5 42.1
Allison Richards - 23 20.2 8.2 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.1 7.1 2.7 -14 -0.7 -1.0 37.2 34.1 80.0 0.23 51.1 46.3
Megan Counts - 27 20.3 6.7 4.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.4 5.8 6.5 -16 -0.4 -0.5 42.0 24.4 77.1 0.05 50.5 45.5
Camren Morris - 26 16.8 5.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 5.7 1.8 -33 -1.3 -2.0 38.8 34.3 71.4 -0.1 49.0 46.9
Liberty Line - 22 7.2 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.3 1.6 -23 -1.4 -4.2 42.5 35.9 64.3 -0.29 53.7 52.1
Mckenzi Petersen - 4 7.5 2.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.8 1.0 -199 -5.7 -12.5 36.4 0 100.0 -1.43 42.1 36.4
Bati Assefa - 27 15.4 2.4 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 2.0 2.3 3.5 -27 -1.1 -2.2 30.2 15.8 85.2 -0.27 42.7 32.5
Jordyn Stokes - 27 12.4 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.6 1.9 -104 -3.6 -7.4 30.2 19.4 76.2 -0.59 45.9 37.2
Olivia Waufle - 27 7.6 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.3 1.3 -15 -0.6 -2.3 34.3 20.0 73.3 0.08 43.3 35.7
Kadyn Comer - 27 10.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.5 1.0 -33 -1.4 -4.0 20.0 12.0 84.6 -0.26 32.8 23.8
Malorie Byrne - 26 6.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 0.1 6 0.2 0.9 14.0 19.4 91.7 0.01 30.0 20.9
Tyra Eriksson - 18 3.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 27.3 36.4 40.0 0.12 37.2 36.4
McKenzi Peterson - 1 22.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Livia Castellanos - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Allison Olsen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Awoti Akoi - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shakani Murray - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -1.5 -2.4 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
Alex Ridenour - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.4 -1.5 0 0 0 0.03 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG