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Chadron St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Chadron St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 785 (#513) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 708 (#527) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 726 (#694) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -16.8 (#278) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -14.9 (#558) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.046 (#567) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +75.1 More → 1.000 (#13) NetEff +75.1
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +50.8 More → 1.000 (#41) NetEff +50.8
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.8 More → 0.007 (#457) NetEff -35.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.4 More → 0.159 (#550) AdjNet -14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.158 (#551) AdjNet -14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.307 (#546) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.183 (#669) AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.098 (#653) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.103 (#658) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 20 More → 575 (#521) RD 115 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Okla. Christian L 48 - 73
2025-11-16 @ Okla. Christian L 57 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 53 - 95
2025-11-25 @ Wyoming L 38 - 75
2025-11-28 @ Northern Colo. L 47 - 114
2025-12-04 @ Black Hills St. L 34 - 83
2025-12-06 vs South Dakota Mines L 51 - 75
2025-12-11 vs CSU Pueblo L 54 - 66
2025-12-13 vs UCCS L 54 - 66
2025-12-16 @ Neb.-Kearney L 46 - 90
2025-12-19 @ Fort Hays St. L 49 - 92
2026-01-10 @ Regis (CO) W 68 - 53
2026-01-15 vs Adams St. L 64 - 74
2026-01-17 vs N.M. Highlands L 54 - 74
2026-01-22 @ Westminster (UT) L 52 - 83
2026-01-24 @ Colorado Mesa L 41 - 70
2026-01-27 vs Black Hills St. L 54 - 67
2026-01-29 @ South Dakota Mines L 59 - 76
2026-02-05 @ Colo. Christian L 43 - 84
2026-02-07 @ CSU Pueblo L 56 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
McKenzi Petersen - 20 21.2 9.3 4.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.6 8.0 4.5 -214 -11.3 -54.8 50.6 0.0 62.5 -3.64 52.6 50.6
Audrey Quintana - 20 25.6 9.2 2.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 2.5 9.5 2.6 -270 -14.2 -54.1 32.6 30.0 93.5 -3.46 44.9 40.5
Ella Moser - 20 23.0 8.2 1.3 0.8 1.1 0.0 1.9 7.9 1.6 -166 -8.7 -40.0 36.1 34.7 69.2 0.33 50.1 49.1
Kenna Wagner - 20 24.4 6.9 2.9 2.8 1.4 0.0 4.2 8.0 1.8 -197 -10.4 -43.1 32.5 25.6 57.5 -1.38 38.9 35.9
Dreanna Jackson - 17 17.1 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.8 0.2 2.2 5.9 -0.9 -210 -13.1 -59.6 27.0 18.3 88.9 -4.95 36.1 33.5
Amya Winfrey - 20 15.1 3.4 4.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 3.0 5.0 -141 -7.0 -63.8 43.3 0 59.3 -0.43 47.3 43.3
Bianca Bindzus - 15 12.3 3.3 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.8 2.7 2.5 -75 -5.8 -33.7 35.0 34.3 83.3 -0.2 55.2 50.0
Keziah Toran - 15 16.9 3.2 2.9 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.6 5.1 1.2 -106 -7.6 -94.1 26.0 11.1 53.8 -2.36 29.0 26.6
Camren Morris - 3 15.2 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 3.3 0.7 -11 -2.8 -9.3 30.0 0.0 100.0 0.52 36.8 30.0
Evelyn Old Coyote - 20 15.8 1.8 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.9 2.0 2.5 -189 -9.9 -74.2 27.5 25.0 50.0 -2.95 36.5 32.5
Jordyn Stokes - 15 13.3 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.5 -0.1 -91 -6.5 -50.8 26.1 26.3 83.3 -2.83 42.9 37.0
Alex Ridenour - 16 12.3 1.1 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.4 0.9 -64 -4.3 -40.9 31.8 30.8 0 -1.93 40.9 40.9
Asia Gibson - 9 12.4 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.3 2.7 -1.6 -70 -8.8 -98.4 16.7 0.0 0.0 -1.89 15.5 16.7
Teryn Stokes - 9 8.0 0.8 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 3.2 -35 -3.5 -24.3 66.7 0 60.0 -1.91 67.3 66.7
Sophia Nguyen - 7 4.2 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 -0.1 -13 -2.2 -36.2 40.0 0.0 0 -0.69 40.0 40.0
Alexis Trousdale - 15 7.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 -62 -4.8 -48.8 22.2 16.7 50.0 -0.69 32.5 27.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG