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Chadron St.

Also known as: Chadron St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 847 (#403) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 805 (#408) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.5 (#188) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.335 (#422) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.3 More → 0.466 (#230) NetEff -1.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.516 (#413) AdjNet +0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.523 (#409) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.512 (#412) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 72 - 68
2024-11-09 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 71 - 73
2024-11-14 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 57 - 74
2024-11-15 vs Ottawa (KS) W 83 - 67
2024-11-22 vs Sioux Falls L 76 - 91
2024-11-26 @ Colo. Christian L 60 - 76
2024-11-30 vs Neb.-Kearney W 87 - 71
2024-12-05 vs South Dakota Mines W 84 - 56
2024-12-07 @ Black Hills St. L 69 - 89
2024-12-12 @ CSU Pueblo W 66 - 62
2024-12-14 @ UCCS L 79 - 84
2024-12-16 vs Cent. Christian (KS) W 107 - 50
2024-12-19 @ South Dakota St. L 72 - 87
2025-01-09 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 61 - 76
2025-01-11 vs Regis (CO) L 70 - 76
2025-01-16 @ Adams St. W 91 - 86
2025-01-18 @ N.M. Highlands L 96 - 97
2025-01-23 vs Westminster (UT) W 71 - 59
2025-01-25 vs Colorado Mesa W 69 - 67
2025-01-28 @ South Dakota Mines L 47 - 53
2025-01-30 vs Black Hills St. W 90 - 77
2025-02-06 vs Colo. Christian W 62 - 58
2025-02-08 vs CSU Pueblo W 81 - 65
2025-02-13 @ MSU Denver L 71 - 73
2025-02-15 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 77 - 104
2025-02-20 @ Western Colo. W 79 - 62
2025-02-22 @ Westminster (UT) L 54 - 69
2025-02-27 vs Fort Lewis W 84 - 82
2025-03-01 vs Adams St. W 105 - 86
2025-03-04 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 74 - 79

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gavin Carter - 1 21.0 16.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 5 0.2 3.3 71.4 66.7 66.7 0.05 83.0 85.7
Jalen Thomas - 29 30.1 13.9 5.0 4.0 1.3 0.1 3.2 11.0 10.2 -98 -3.8 -13.5 49.7 34.4 84.6 0.15 56.4 51.4
Zy Wright - 29 28.3 13.7 6.4 1.2 1.2 0.1 1.2 10.1 11.4 18 0.7 2.4 45.2 34.6 80.3 -0.02 57.6 51.4
William Becker - 1 29.0 13.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 17.0 14 0.6 2.4 75.0 0 50.0 0.5 73.2 75.0
Jezza McKenzie - 1 27.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 62 1.8 7.8 44.4 42.9 66.7 0.42 63.0 61.1
Xavier Martinez - 1 29.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 12.0 13 0.4 1.6 44.4 57.1 0 0.54 66.7 66.7
Trey Ballard - 26 20.9 10.2 2.9 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.0 8.6 5.8 -42 -2.5 -22.4 43.8 34.6 86.8 -0.13 55.3 52.0
Derik Pranger - 1 21.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 1.0 -29 -1.3 -4.1 33.3 22.2 0 0.54 41.7 41.7
Darrius Miles - 29 24.0 9.9 4.7 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.6 7.8 7.0 -101 -3.6 -17.0 50.7 31.0 67.9 -0.22 57.6 55.6
Julio Phipps - 29 24.0 9.8 5.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.2 7.4 8.7 44 2.4 15.5 51.9 55.2 68.7 0.31 58.3 55.6
Hannes Saar - 1 32.0 9.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 92 3.4 11.2 50.0 0.0 55.6 0.66 56.5 50.0
Santiago Ochoa - 1 13.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 1 0.1 3.1 75.0 50.0 0 -0.7 87.5 87.5
Dalton Peterson - 29 18.2 5.5 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 4.7 3.3 5 0.2 1.1 38.5 38.2 81.8 0.43 57.2 55.9
John Jenkins - 29 18.5 5.0 4.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 4.6 5.4 -33 -1.3 -5.8 38.6 19.4 70.6 -0.04 46.6 40.9
Treyson Neff - 14 10.6 2.9 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.1 - - - 36.8 18.5 100.0 - 48.7 43.4
Jaylen Davis - 28 10.8 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.1 2.2 -127 -5.3 -14.7 43.1 37.5 70.0 -0.29 52.4 48.3
Zach Smith - 15 11.8 2.2 0.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.5 -88 -3.3 -69.7 33.3 35.3 71.4 -0.3 45.7 42.4
Trey Harris - 14 6.1 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.0 -87 -2.4 -10.1 38.5 57.1 44.4 0.35 46.7 46.2
Brady Jones - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -99 -4.5 -10.8 50.0 0 0 -0.76 50.0 50.0
Joshua Ray - 1 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -8 -0.5 -6.2 100.0 0 0 -0.2 100.0 100.0
Jasiya DeDllos - 28 3.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 25 4.2 372.7 45.8 37.5 42.9 -1.38 51.7 52.1
Tyson Neff - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Schauer - 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gaebreal Perry - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Ellis - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -39 -2.4 -115.0 0.0 0 0 -0.7 0.0 0.0
Azar Ghezae - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tre Lucia - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 1 0.1 14.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.39 0.0 0.0
Jayden Washington - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 1 0.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG