Chadron St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 847 (#403) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 805 (#408) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.5 (#188) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.335 (#422) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.466 (#230) | NetEff -1.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#413) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.523 (#409) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.512 (#412) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Ottawa (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-12 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Cent. Christian (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | South Dakota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Carter | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.05 | 83.0 | 85.7 |
| Jalen Thomas | - | 28 | 30.2 | 14.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 10.9 | 10.4 | -98 | -3.8 | -13.5 | 50.0 | 34.5 | 86.2 | 0.15 | 56.8 | 51.6 |
| Zy Wright | - | 28 | 28.2 | 13.7 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 11.3 | 18 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 44.3 | 35.0 | 80.8 | -0.02 | 57.2 | 50.7 |
| William Becker | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.5 | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Jezza McKenzie | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 62 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 44.4 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 63.0 | 61.1 |
| Xavier Martinez | - | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 44.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.54 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Trey Ballard | - | 26 | 20.9 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 5.8 | -42 | -2.5 | -22.4 | 43.8 | 34.6 | 86.8 | -0.13 | 55.3 | 52.0 |
| Derik Pranger | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | -29 | -1.3 | -4.1 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.54 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Julio Phipps | - | 28 | 24.1 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 9.0 | 44 | 2.4 | 15.5 | 53.2 | 55.2 | 69.2 | 0.31 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Darrius Miles | - | 28 | 23.7 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 | -101 | -3.6 | -17.0 | 51.0 | 32.4 | 69.2 | -0.22 | 58.4 | 56.2 |
| Hannes Saar | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 92 | 3.4 | 11.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 0.66 | 56.5 | 50.0 |
| Santiago Ochoa | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.7 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Dalton Peterson | - | 28 | 17.8 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 38.2 | 37.8 | 81.8 | 0.43 | 56.7 | 55.3 |
| John Jenkins | - | 28 | 18.5 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 5.7 | -33 | -1.3 | -5.8 | 40.7 | 20.7 | 70.6 | -0.04 | 48.8 | 43.1 |
| Treyson Neff | - | 13 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 18.5 | 100.0 | - | 48.7 | 43.4 |
| Jaylen Davis | - | 28 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | -127 | -5.3 | -14.7 | 43.1 | 37.5 | 70.0 | -0.29 | 52.4 | 48.3 |
| Zach Smith | - | 15 | 11.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | -88 | -3.3 | -69.7 | 33.3 | 35.3 | 71.4 | -0.3 | 45.7 | 42.4 |
| Trey Harris | - | 14 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -87 | -2.4 | -10.1 | 38.5 | 57.1 | 44.4 | 0.35 | 46.7 | 46.2 |
| Brady Jones | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -99 | -4.5 | -10.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Joshua Ray | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jasiya DeDllos | - | 27 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 25 | 4.2 | 372.7 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | -1.38 | 38.8 | 38.9 |
| Tyson Neff | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gaebreal Perry | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Schauer | - | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Ellis | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -39 | -2.4 | -115.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Azar Ghezae | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Lucia | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 14.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayden Washington | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG