Chadron St.
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 719 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 724 (#294) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 848 (#293) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.3 (#289) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.1 (#275) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.104 (#298) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#296) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.211 (#295) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.324 (#290) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.302 (#290) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.253 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.249 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 686 (#294) | RD 156 | GP 26 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | @ | Bellevue | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Northern St. | L | 74 - 94 |
| 2016-11-22 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2016-12-02 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2016-12-09 | vs | UCCS | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | MSU Denver | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2016-12-16 | @ | South Dakota Mines | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Fort Lewis | L | 59 - 86 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Adams St. | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2017-01-06 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 49 - 94 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Western Colo. | L | 71 - 89 |
| 2017-01-13 | vs | Westminster (UT) | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2017-01-20 | @ | Adams St. | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Fort Lewis | L | 64 - 87 |
| 2017-01-27 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 55 - 85 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | N.M. Highlands | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2017-02-03 | vs | Colo. Christian | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 57 - 87 |
| 2017-02-10 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | UCCS | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2017-02-14 | @ | Regis (CO) | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2017-02-24 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 43 - 63 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 75 - 67 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.