Centre
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1156 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1220 (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#101) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.3 (#91) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.6 (#308) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.852 (#269) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.901 (#156) | NetEff +16.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.692 (#315) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.681 (#317) | AdjNet +6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.563 (#322) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.600 (#235) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.707 (#210) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.698 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1190 (#73) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Meredith | W | 82 - 39 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Hollins | W | 67 - 44 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Roanoke | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Berry | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Asbury | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Spalding | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Maryville (TN) | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Webster | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Greenville | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Rhodes | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Berry | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 66 - 90 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Trinity (TX) | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Trinity (TX) | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Berry | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keimarya Rivera | - | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 73 | 3.5 | 14.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 1.24 | 46.3 | 25.0 |
| Lilly Reid | - | 17 | 31.9 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 15.3 | 8.9 | 162 | 7.4 | 30.8 | 37.7 | 29.1 | 57.4 | 4.18 | 44.1 | 42.1 |
| Marlie Battle | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 40 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.94 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Anna Conza | - | 1 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | 34 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 44.4 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.1 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Sheraton Foster | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 77 | 3.7 | 21.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.27 | 76.7 | 66.7 |
| Ryleigh Campbell | - | 17 | 27.6 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 1.7 | 60 | 2.7 | 13.7 | 30.8 | 29.0 | 84.6 | 0.96 | 42.4 | 38.8 |
| Tessa Miles | - | 13 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 33 | 1.8 | 11.5 | 40.9 | 27.8 | 77.1 | -1.7 | 49.8 | 43.5 |
| KaNiah Edelen | - | 17 | 31.6 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 7.6 | 99 | 4.5 | 18.3 | 43.8 | 28.0 | 77.2 | 0.96 | 55.7 | 47.4 |
| Trinity Armour | - | 17 | 16.2 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 65 | 3.0 | 26.6 | 48.2 | 0 | 47.2 | 3.7 | 48.9 | 48.2 |
| Lindsay Jessie | - | 17 | 15.7 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 92 | 4.2 | 39.3 | 50.5 | 0.0 | 74.1 | -2.58 | 54.3 | 50.5 |
| Isabelle Combs | - | 16 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 31 | 1.5 | 18.8 | 58.3 | 0 | 73.9 | 4.11 | 62.8 | 58.3 |
| Claire Russell | - | 17 | 16.8 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 50 | 2.3 | 18.2 | 46.4 | 57.1 | 69.2 | 1.33 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Lola Fouts | - | 16 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 58 | 2.8 | 23.5 | 50.0 | 52.6 | 90.0 | 0.6 | 65.7 | 61.9 |
| Malia Melton | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 77 | 3.7 | 18.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.11 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
| Arin Nipp | - | 17 | 22.1 | 2.7 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 43.8 | 44.4 | 77.8 | 0.1 | 57.6 | 50.0 |
| Jaden Winfrey | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.76 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Briley Elder | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -4.0 | 51 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.67 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| Charley Harper | - | 13 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 0.6 | 17.0 | 28.6 | 22.2 | 83.3 | 1.22 | 45.1 | 35.7 |
| Emery Smith | - | 8 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 36 | 4.0 | 78.2 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.32 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Genny Rogers | - | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 7 | 0.9 | 31.1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Ashton Jones | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.3 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.44 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Kylie Floyd | - | 10 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 14 | 1.1 | 25.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.13 | 33.8 | 31.2 |
| Sarah Kate Evans | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.97 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaby LoPresti | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -3.2 | -161.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Callie Cavender | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kamaria McDermott | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brooke Herdman | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Channing Segars | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Abby Scott | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 2.9 | 1411.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Aliyah Shaffer | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -34 | -1.9 | -30.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Lily Burford | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren Phillip | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -31 | -1.6 | -30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG