Centre
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 968 (#433) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1006 (#376) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 962 (#583) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.1 (#164) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.1 (#418) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.599 (#403) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.310 (#448) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.264 (#479) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.362 (#474) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.507 (#392) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.422 (#464) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.434 (#457) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 975 (#413) | RD 102 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Asbury | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Berea | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Covenant | W | 112 - 108 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | LeTourneau | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Spalding | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 46 - 84 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ramapo | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Wabash | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Sewanee | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Millsaps | W | 94 - 65 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Rhodes | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Berry | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 91 - 94 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Trinity (TX) | L | 88 - 103 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Berry | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalib Thomas | - | 17 | 30.4 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 72 | 4.2 | 16.3 | 40.9 | 32.0 | 71.4 | 1.53 | 49.3 | 47.7 |
| Drake Ingram | - | 20 | 21.1 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 60 | 3.0 | 18.4 | 41.0 | 33.6 | 81.5 | 1.28 | 55.9 | 50.7 |
| Riley Mastin | - | 9 | 20.5 | 10.9 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 11.7 | 40 | 4.4 | 116.5 | 51.4 | 27.3 | 77.8 | 0.57 | 58.4 | 53.5 |
| Landen Hamilton | - | 20 | 25.3 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 95 | 4.8 | 27.4 | 38.2 | 34.4 | 62.3 | 3.06 | 48.2 | 44.1 |
| Ryan Shene | - | 20 | 27.9 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 10.6 | 56 | 2.8 | 17.7 | 39.3 | 33.0 | 65.7 | 0.26 | 51.8 | 49.7 |
| Nolan Wahl | - | 19 | 23.2 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 51 | 2.7 | 13.8 | 39.8 | 28.2 | 67.3 | 0.24 | 49.5 | 45.8 |
| Hunter Coleman | - | 20 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 | -22 | -1.1 | -12.5 | 39.2 | 34.8 | 0 | -4.0 | 49.4 | 49.4 |
| Graham Krezmien | - | 18 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 54 | 3.0 | 39.4 | 44.7 | 38.9 | 42.1 | -0.39 | 51.5 | 52.1 |
| Izayiah Villafuerte | - | 20 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 42 | 2.1 | 29.9 | 29.2 | 22.7 | 81.8 | -1.47 | 39.7 | 36.1 |
| Garrison Hildebrant | - | 16 | 15.5 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 3.8 | -19 | -1.2 | -9.8 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 38.9 | -1.8 | 44.9 | 45.0 |
| Johnny Djema | - | 18 | 16.9 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 29 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 47.8 | -0.04 | 44.8 | 42.3 |
| Layken Lyons | - | 4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Clay Sizemore | - | 4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Jack Fischer | - | 3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Jackson Wise | - | 3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Miklos Melton Jr. | - | 3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Max Burtner | - | 8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.8 | 29.0 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.73 | 41.4 | 35.0 |
| Colby Raymer | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Brooks Cargould | - | 3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Carson Probst | - | 3 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| James Scannell | - | 4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Michael Allen | - | 4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG