🐻⬇️🏀

Centre

Also known as: Centre
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 968 (#433) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1006 (#376) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 962 (#583) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.1 (#164) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.1 (#418) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.599 (#403) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.310 (#448) AdjNet -7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.8 More → 0.264 (#479) AdjNet -8.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.362 (#474) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.507 (#392) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.422 (#464) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.434 (#457) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 20 More → 975 (#413) RD 102 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Asbury W 86 - 71
2025-11-15 @ Berea W 76 - 58
2025-11-17 vs Mt. St. Joseph L 58 - 61
2025-11-21 @ Covenant W 112 - 108
2025-11-22 @ LeTourneau W 88 - 75
2025-11-29 vs Spalding W 69 - 66
2025-12-19 @ Randolph-Macon L 46 - 84
2025-12-20 @ Ramapo W 57 - 53
2025-12-29 vs Thomas (ME) W 89 - 63
2025-12-30 vs Wabash L 62 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Sewanee L 66 - 72
2026-01-09 vs Millsaps W 94 - 65
2026-01-11 vs Rhodes L 58 - 70
2026-01-16 @ Berry L 62 - 63
2026-01-18 @ Oglethorpe L 91 - 94
2026-01-23 @ Southwestern (TX) L 71 - 72
2026-01-25 @ Trinity (TX) L 90 - 96
2026-01-30 vs Southwestern (TX) W 76 - 69
2026-02-01 vs Trinity (TX) L 88 - 103
2026-02-06 vs Berry W 82 - 77
2026-02-08 vs Oglethorpe L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kalib Thomas - 17 30.4 14.5 3.5 2.8 0.8 0.2 1.5 13.9 6.4 72 4.2 16.3 40.9 32.0 71.4 1.53 49.3 47.7
Drake Ingram - 20 21.1 13.1 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.9 10.2 6.5 60 3.0 18.4 41.0 33.6 81.5 1.28 55.9 50.7
Riley Mastin - 9 20.5 10.9 7.7 1.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 8.0 11.7 40 4.4 116.5 51.4 27.3 77.8 0.57 58.4 53.5
Landen Hamilton - 20 25.3 10.6 3.1 3.6 1.5 0.1 2.4 9.3 7.2 95 4.8 27.4 38.2 34.4 62.3 3.06 48.2 44.1
Ryan Shene - 20 27.9 9.8 6.1 2.4 1.4 0.9 1.4 8.7 10.6 56 2.8 17.7 39.3 33.0 65.7 0.26 51.8 49.7
Nolan Wahl - 19 23.2 9.8 7.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.6 8.7 8.7 51 2.7 13.8 39.8 28.2 67.3 0.24 49.5 45.8
Hunter Coleman - 20 10.9 3.9 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.0 1.8 -22 -1.1 -12.5 39.2 34.8 0 -4.0 49.4 49.4
Graham Krezmien - 18 9.4 3.2 2.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.6 3.4 54 3.0 39.4 44.7 38.9 42.1 -0.39 51.5 52.1
Izayiah Villafuerte - 20 15.1 3.0 1.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.1 42 2.1 29.9 29.2 22.7 81.8 -1.47 39.7 36.1
Garrison Hildebrant - 16 15.5 2.7 3.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.5 3.8 -19 -1.2 -9.8 45.0 0.0 38.9 -1.8 44.9 45.0
Johnny Djema - 18 16.9 2.4 5.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 2.2 6.4 29 1.6 10.9 41.0 50.0 47.8 -0.04 44.8 42.3
Layken Lyons - 4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.0 - - - 60.0 100.0 100.0 - 76.5 70.0
Clay Sizemore - 4 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.0 - - - 28.6 28.6 0 - 42.9 42.9
Jack Fischer - 3 3.2 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 106.4 100.0
Jackson Wise - 3 3.2 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 106.4 100.0
Miklos Melton Jr. - 3 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.3 2 1.0 4.1 50.0 0 0 -0.0 50.0 50.0
Max Burtner - 8 6.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.9 6 0.8 29.0 30.0 16.7 100.0 -0.73 41.4 35.0
Colby Raymer - 4 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Brooks Cargould - 3 2.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Carson Probst - 3 3.8 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
James Scannell - 4 2.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Justin Michael Allen - 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -19 -1.1 -6.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.96 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG