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Centre

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 970 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 976 (#197) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 981 (#207) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -3.7 (#232) HCA +1.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -3.9 (#234) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.419 (#206) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 78.5 More โ†’ 0.456 (#216) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 78.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 78.5 More โ†’ 0.451 (#227) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 78.5
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 214 | GP 1 More โ†’ 965 (#203) RD 214 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-05 @ Belmont L 45 - 75
2026-11-11 vs Transylvania L 76 - 82

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.