Central Wash.
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1069 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1106 (#97) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#113) | HCA +53 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.1 (#30) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.2 (#56) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.774 (#60) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.907 (#53) | AdjNet +19.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.911 (#52) | AdjNet +20.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.764 (#48) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.648 (#64) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.763 (#59) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.742 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1117 (#91) | RD 131 | GP 24 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Stanislaus St. | W | 94 - 59 |
| 2018-11-16 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | CSUSB | W | 80 - 48 |
| 2018-11-21 | vs | Holy Names | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2018-11-29 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 77 - 81 |
| 2018-12-17 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2019-01-03 | @ | Western Ore. | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Concordia Portland | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2019-01-10 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2019-01-15 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2019-01-17 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | W | 93 - 58 |
| 2019-01-24 | @ | Simon Fraser | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Western Wash. | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2019-01-31 | vs | Concordia Portland | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Western Ore. | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2019-02-07 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Saint Martin's | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | W | 82 - 45 |
| 2019-02-18 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Western Wash. | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2019-02-28 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 77 - 50 |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2019-03-07 | vs | Concordia Portland | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2019-03-08 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 52 - 70 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.