Central Wash.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1034 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1017 (#214) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.2 (#107) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.9 (#173) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.747 (#186) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#10) | NetEff +76.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.848 (#197) | AdjNet +14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.853 (#196) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.745 (#187) | AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 71.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.656 (#100) | AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.631 (#209) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#197) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1046 (#179) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | St. Edward's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Chico St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Walla Walla | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Point Loma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Evergreen St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Northwest (WA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clark | - | 20 | 31.6 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 67 | 3.2 | 13.2 | 44.3 | 42.5 | 82.6 | 2.93 | 59.3 | 54.0 |
| Bradley Swillie | - | 21 | 29.7 | 15.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 12.4 | 9.2 | 44 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 45.4 | 33.7 | 79.7 | -0.15 | 56.7 | 52.1 |
| Chae Haynes | - | 22 | 19.7 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 10.2 | -25 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 52.5 | 0 | 57.7 | -1.16 | 55.5 | 52.5 |
| Eli Williams | - | 21 | 29.4 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 44.3 | 35.9 | 75.0 | -2.22 | 60.1 | 55.7 |
| Calvin Sisk | - | 21 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 9.2 | 67 | 3.0 | 23.7 | 72.3 | 0.0 | 51.6 | 2.82 | 70.7 | 72.3 |
| Jamari Harris | - | 22 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 52.8 | 37.5 | 70.0 | 0.15 | 64.6 | 62.7 |
| Garrett Marrs | - | 22 | 25.8 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 51 | 2.2 | 13.4 | 39.0 | 31.5 | 64.7 | 2.76 | 51.5 | 48.7 |
| Jalen Childs | - | 22 | 16.3 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 9 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 43.4 | 39.3 | 59.1 | -0.21 | 50.1 | 48.6 |
| Demetrus Johnson II | - | 12 | 20.7 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 5.3 | -27 | -13.5 | -41.7 | 38.1 | 31.2 | 69.0 | -3.11 | 52.0 | 44.0 |
| Luke Westerfield | - | 5 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | -20 | -4.0 | -648.6 | 55.6 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 51.5 | 55.6 |
| Bralyn Smith | - | 7 | 10.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 13 | 2.2 | 264.4 | 26.7 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.55 | 37.8 | 36.7 |
| Aman Sterling | - | 5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | -8 | -1.6 | -41.9 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 40.0 | 21.4 |
| Harry Davies | - | 7 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | -16 | -2.3 | -66.4 | 26.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.31 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG