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Central Wash.

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1080 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1054 (#64) HCA +102 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1025 (#59) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +6.0 (#65) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +5.2 (#62) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.611 (#62) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.553 (#88) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.511 (#77) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.3
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 182 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1070 (#55) RD 182 | GP 3

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-30 vs Chico St. W 78 - 69
2026-10-31 vs CSUSB L 70 - 79
2026-11-01 vs Lubbock Christian W 74 - 62

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.