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Central St. (OH)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Central St. (OH)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 944 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 963 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 926 (#514) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.8 (#207) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +0.3 (#323) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.345 (#415) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +56.7 More → 0.999 (#41) NetEff +56.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.354 (#483) AdjNet -5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.353 (#483) AdjNet -5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.415 (#484) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 76.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.508 (#283) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#379) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.436 (#366) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 25 More → 920 (#326) RD 91 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Mississippi Col. W 69 - 64
2025-11-15 vs West Ala. L 62 - 65
2025-11-17 vs Fort Valley St. W 90 - 74
2025-11-20 vs Benedict L 78 - 84
2025-11-22 vs Allen W 99 - 75
2025-11-26 @ Duquesne L 80 - 101
2025-12-01 @ Toledo L 58 - 102
2025-12-04 @ Savannah St. L 65 - 71
2025-12-06 @ Edward Waters L 63 - 65
2025-12-11 vs Clark Atlanta L 65 - 72
2025-12-16 @ Morehouse L 70 - 89
2026-01-03 vs Miles W 65 - 58
2026-01-05 vs Tuskegee L 60 - 63
2026-01-08 @ Spring Hill W 76 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Albany St. (GA) W 73 - 66
2026-01-14 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 74 - 65
2026-01-17 vs Kentucky St. W 80 - 68
2026-01-19 @ Lane L 80 - 83
2026-01-22 @ Benedict W 61 - 57
2026-01-24 @ Allen L 81 - 83
2026-01-29 vs Savannah St. L 52 - 53
2026-01-31 vs Edward Waters W 93 - 86
2026-02-03 vs Simmons (KY) W 80 - 50
2026-02-05 @ Clark Atlanta L 55 - 62
2026-02-07 @ Fort Valley St. L 68 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ramar Pryor - 21 30.7 16.6 3.9 1.2 2.0 0.4 3.4 11.6 9.1 17 1.0 5.5 48.8 38.5 75.0 0.82 58.6 52.9
Micah Bays - 25 26.4 13.6 2.9 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.9 8.2 9.8 65 3.2 12.6 53.9 45.4 75.0 1.04 68.3 64.7
Javantae Randle - 25 25.9 11.0 7.1 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.6 9.0 9.5 54 2.7 13.1 49.6 26.5 75.0 0.43 55.5 52.5
Keionte Cornelius - 12 20.7 10.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.8 8.4 2.5 -1 -0.1 -0.9 40.6 38.9 93.3 -1.62 57.6 54.5
Armoni Portis - 7 11.5 8.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 7.3 2.6 -2 -0.4 -2.8 35.3 34.3 88.9 -0.14 50.9 47.1
Khalil Luster - 18 27.1 6.8 1.8 3.2 1.2 0.0 2.3 5.9 4.7 -4 -0.3 -3.0 36.8 38.6 85.0 0.56 53.1 49.5
Braylon Dickerson - 25 20.2 5.9 2.8 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.9 5.0 5.0 -17 -0.9 -3.9 39.2 31.6 81.6 1.33 51.9 46.4
Emanuel Henriques - 22 19.1 5.6 2.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.8 4.3 5.4 20 1.2 7.3 37.9 32.7 62.5 1.32 51.4 46.3
Isaiah Daniel - 24 14.6 4.4 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 3.6 2.4 1 0.1 0.3 44.2 34.3 68.0 -1.66 54.1 51.2
JaMonte Williams - 10 19.8 3.8 2.6 2.3 0.9 0.0 1.7 3.5 4.4 24 3.0 29.3 42.9 28.6 60.0 -0.22 48.2 45.7
Kiyron Powell-Scott - 25 19.7 2.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 1.3 1.5 2.0 5.1 16 0.8 5.0 53.1 0.0 41.7 -0.23 52.0 53.1
Dimaunye Smith-Powe - 7 13.9 2.3 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.0 1.1 2.1 3.0 18 3.6 15.5 40.0 0 44.4 1.76 42.2 40.0
Esseck Bryant - 21 7.8 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.2 -4 -0.3 -2.6 50.0 0.0 55.6 -1.16 51.6 50.0
Torrion Stevenson - 6 10.7 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.2 10 3.3 15.7 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.13 35.4 33.3
Marjoni Tate - 3 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG