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Central Okla.

Also known as: Central Okla.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 997 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 965 (#324) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 914 (#601) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.9 (#123) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +7.1 (#248) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.339 (#429) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.4 More → 0.548 (#263) NetEff +1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.3 More → 0.787 (#279) AdjNet +11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.3 More → 0.809 (#276) AdjNet +12.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.660 (#285) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.549 (#256) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 59.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.588 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.572 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 23 More → 927 (#329) RD 93 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 51 - 66
2025-11-15 vs St. Cloud St. L 59 - 61
2025-11-20 vs Midwestern St. W 65 - 52
2025-11-24 vs Harding L 51 - 61
2025-11-29 vs UCCS L 66 - 80
2025-12-04 @ Pittsburg St. L 59 - 62
2025-12-06 @ Mo. Southern St. L 57 - 75
2025-12-11 @ Rogers St. L 63 - 66
2025-12-16 vs Evangel W 70 - 65
2025-12-20 @ Sul Ross St. W 75 - 62
2025-12-30 vs McPherson W 96 - 44
2026-01-03 @ Newman W 73 - 55
2026-01-10 vs Ark.-Fort Smith W 62 - 54
2026-01-14 vs Mo. Southern St. L 81 - 85
2026-01-17 vs Pittsburg St. L 56 - 84
2026-01-22 @ Neb.-Kearney L 57 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Fort Hays St. L 65 - 78
2026-01-28 vs Newman W 67 - 51
2026-01-31 vs Emporia St. L 56 - 65
2026-02-05 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 40 - 57
2026-02-07 @ Missouri Western L 71 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nykaiya Dillard - 21 18.7 12.4 3.1 0.8 1.9 0.6 1.8 11.4 5.7 19 0.8 4.6 40.2 19.2 67.4 0.9 46.5 41.2
Kaitlyn McCarn - 21 30.6 11.5 5.1 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.9 12.7 4.4 24 1.0 3.7 36.0 31.8 72.9 -2.16 41.8 38.6
Jerney Bennett - 21 25.8 8.8 8.2 0.6 1.0 3.9 1.4 7.9 13.0 7 0.3 1.5 44.6 0.0 59.0 -0.5 47.7 44.6
Bobbie Fouquet - 21 23.0 8.2 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.4 9.8 4.8 10 0.5 2.3 33.7 23.3 60.0 -1.96 39.6 37.8
Olivia Quapaw - 21 15.0 5.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.8 5.4 0.4 14 0.6 5.8 33.6 23.5 85.7 1.96 43.4 38.9
Peyton Walker - 20 28.4 4.1 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.0 1.4 3.5 4.7 30 1.4 6.5 35.2 45.2 81.8 1.91 50.8 45.1
Kendrick Bailey - 21 29.1 3.5 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.8 4.0 3.9 1 0.0 0.2 26.5 25.9 66.7 -0.7 39.6 35.5
Harley Harbour - 21 11.1 3.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.8 4.2 -40 -1.7 -14.3 39.7 0 58.8 -1.81 45.2 39.7
Talia Pogi - 20 10.9 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.9 0.6 -4 -0.2 -1.7 28.6 25.0 57.1 1.36 37.5 36.4
HaNiya Geretta - 14 9.6 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.9 3.9 1.1 -67 -4.8 -34.2 23.6 27.8 60.0 -3.65 32.5 28.2
Madison Roberts - 16 5.0 2.6 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.8 2.6 10 0.6 13.5 40.0 0.0 45.5 1.02 41.1 40.0
Parker Simonsen - 8 5.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.2 14 1.6 373.3 41.7 0.0 50.0 0.21 42.7 41.7
Emerie Adams - 5 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 -0.2 10 2.0 152.9 14.3 0.0 0 0.72 14.3 14.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG