Central Okla.
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 972 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 981 (#92) | HCA +106 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 963 (#104) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#118) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.1 (#116) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.336 (#108) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.492 (#128) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.495 (#128) | AdjNet -10.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.480 (#107) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.444 (#108) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.425 (#114) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#114) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 955 (#102) | RD 185 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.733 (#78) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2026-10-31 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ | Harding | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Texas A&M University-Texarkana | W | 88 - 65 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.