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Central Okla.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Central Okla.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1051 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1062 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1048 (#129) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.9 (#55) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +12.7 (#125) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.784 (#168) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.9 More → 0.940 (#85) AdjNet +23.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.0 More → 0.936 (#91) AdjNet +23.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.826 (#97) AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.684 (#81) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.750 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.740 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 26 More → 1099 (#119) RD 90 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Central Wash. L 65 - 75
2025-11-02 vs Western Wash. L 63 - 69
2025-11-14 vs Minn.-Crookston W 62 - 47
2025-11-15 @ Ark.-Monticello W 70 - 57
2025-11-19 vs Southwestern Okla. W 67 - 51
2025-11-22 @ West Tex. A&M L 70 - 81
2025-11-24 vs UNT Dallas W 81 - 67
2025-11-30 vs Champion Chris. W 107 - 46
2025-12-04 @ Pittsburg St. L 63 - 77
2025-12-06 @ Mo. Southern St. W 87 - 79
2025-12-11 @ Rogers St. L 67 - 72
2025-12-16 vs St. Mary's (TX) L 62 - 72
2025-12-17 @ St. Edward's L 63 - 66
2025-12-30 vs Dallas Christian W 83 - 49
2026-01-03 @ Newman W 89 - 72
2026-01-07 vs Northeastern St. W 97 - 93
2026-01-10 vs Ark.-Fort Smith W 93 - 86
2026-01-14 vs Mo. Southern St. L 75 - 81
2026-01-17 vs Pittsburg St. W 69 - 59
2026-01-22 @ Neb.-Kearney L 72 - 81
2026-01-24 @ Fort Hays St. L 53 - 58
2026-01-28 vs Newman W 74 - 57
2026-01-31 vs Emporia St. W 70 - 64
2026-02-05 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 65 - 72
2026-02-07 @ Missouri Western W 75 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Matthew Willenborg - 25 34.3 21.2 9.7 1.4 1.5 3.0 1.4 15.8 19.5 42 1.8 13.1 49.0 36.2 83.5 2.75 59.4 54.9
Josh Nwankwo - 19 33.6 18.2 5.2 3.5 2.3 0.2 2.2 13.9 13.3 -1 -0.1 -0.3 45.5 40.0 82.8 2.73 56.2 50.0
Jacobi Sebock - 6 27.9 17.0 5.0 0.8 1.0 0.3 3.2 12.0 9.0 - - - 54.2 40.0 88.0 - 61.4 55.6
Parker Hannah - 23 30.9 8.8 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.2 7.0 5.0 42 1.8 14.3 41.2 35.3 81.0 -1.55 56.6 52.5
Marcus Zeigler, Jr. - 25 29.3 8.6 2.9 3.5 1.5 0.1 2.1 8.1 6.4 107 4.7 25.2 36.9 25.4 64.1 1.54 45.5 40.9
Ben Averitt - 24 21.6 6.2 3.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.5 5.5 4.9 76 3.5 39.8 52.6 30.0 43.8 -0.66 53.6 53.8
Jack Robinson - 21 25.4 5.1 3.7 3.0 1.3 0.1 1.5 4.4 7.3 43 2.3 15.4 35.9 27.3 70.2 -0.43 47.9 40.8
Brady Hancuff - 25 14.7 3.1 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.2 5 0.2 4.1 52.6 33.3 66.7 -3.69 57.0 53.5
Noah Eckels - 5 5.6 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.6 3.6 21 4.2 536.2 75.0 0 0 -0.54 75.0 75.0
Levi Kelly - 1 4.9 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Trey Tuck - 24 12.4 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.5 32 1.5 78.7 34.1 10.0 57.7 0.32 42.0 35.4
Connor Newton - 11 6.6 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.9 26 2.9 183.0 30.0 36.4 60.0 0.08 42.8 40.0
Chase Sucharda - 14 5.7 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.1 39 3.2 187.6 26.3 26.7 33.3 1.0 37.0 36.8
Jayden Garces - 11 4.6 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.3 6 0.7 19.1 80.0 100.0 20.0 -0.25 69.4 90.0
Carter RomanNose - 6 3.4 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.3 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG