Central Mo.
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1028 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1030 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 973 (#186) | HCA +81 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.8 (#109) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.4 (#90) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.463 (#188) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.441 (#175) | NetEff -2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.777 (#112) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.783 (#111) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.655 (#120) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 59.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.516 (#168) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.657 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.630 (#134) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1039 (#142) | RD 142 | GP 28 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Harding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Park (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-11-30 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-14 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-18 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-04 | @ | Fort Hays St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-18 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-25 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-01-30 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-15 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Fort Hays St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-21 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-02-29 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-03-02 | vs | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
2024 Roster
No roster data available for this season.