Central Mo.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1110 (#44) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1212 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1134 (#47) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.8 (#19) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.1 (#41) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.663 (#244) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.914 (#190) | NetEff +21.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.936 (#91) | AdjNet +23.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.920 (#111) | AdjNet +21.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.808 (#114) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.826 (#9) | AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.873 (#24) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.869 (#21) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1236 (#31) | RD 97 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Sioux Falls | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Upper Iowa | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | McKendree | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Drury | W | 89 - 67 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Tabor | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Fort Hays St. | W | 64 - 50 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | W | 99 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Washburn | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | West Tex. A&M | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 110 - 63 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Newman | W | 96 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 88 - 89 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 97 - 83 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | W | 92 - 53 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Fort Hays St. | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Washburn | W | 74 - 72 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazerek Houston | - | 25 | 33.4 | 20.9 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 16.2 | 13.2 | 122 | 5.1 | 16.7 | 46.9 | 37.0 | 74.6 | 0.1 | 57.1 | 53.6 |
| Jevon Hill | - | 25 | 29.2 | 14.0 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 157 | 6.5 | 22.6 | 47.0 | 45.1 | 87.2 | 0.39 | 68.2 | 65.5 |
| Kyran Tilley | - | 25 | 30.9 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 9.7 | 137 | 5.5 | 19.9 | 44.6 | 34.7 | 67.9 | 2.51 | 54.6 | 51.4 |
| Trinell Parker | - | 25 | 24.1 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 8.9 | 130 | 5.4 | 24.5 | 61.9 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.67 | 62.8 | 61.9 |
| Jake Fritz | - | 25 | 24.7 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 7.6 | 105 | 4.2 | 19.8 | 47.2 | 49.3 | 75.0 | -0.9 | 62.5 | 59.7 |
| Deadric Fikes | - | 15 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 20 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 53.6 | 33.3 | 57.1 | -1.8 | 57.5 | 57.1 |
| Carter Kaifes | - | 25 | 19.1 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 60 | 2.5 | 12.6 | 50.0 | 38.2 | 66.7 | 1.53 | 63.5 | 63.1 |
| Noah Martin | - | 25 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -15 | -0.6 | -6.2 | 53.1 | 34.8 | 77.3 | 0.33 | 65.6 | 61.2 |
| Naz Brown | - | 16 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 35 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 38.5 | 41.2 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 54.1 | 51.9 |
| AJ Lux | - | 18 | 10.1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 69 | 4.1 | 64.0 | 30.0 | 25.7 | 0 | 2.04 | 41.2 | 41.2 |
| Deshawne Crim | - | 11 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -11 | -1.1 | -47.7 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -1.03 | 55.2 | 50.0 |
| Kyree Polk | - | 21 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 28 | 1.4 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 45.0 | -0.05 | 60.9 | 66.7 |
| Judah Sault | - | 7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.2 | 75.3 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.85 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG