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Central Michigan

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Central Michigan Chippewas
Program History
Coach: Kristin Haynie

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

45.3
PPG
79.7
Opp
-34.3
Margin
26.1%
FG%
22.8%
3P%
60.7%
FT%
34.7
RPG
7.7
APG
30.0
TO
82.3
Est. poss./game
46.0
Adj PPG
65.4
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 872 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1020, returning -105, transfers -43, freshmen +0 More → 839 (#267) Preseason prior 872 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1020, returning -105, transfers -43, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +190 elo More → 871 (#269) HCA +190 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +189 elo More → 911 (#307) HCA +189 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → -14.4 (#307) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More → -14.3 (#308) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.032 (#341) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.8 More → 0.182 (#326) AdjNet -23.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.6 More → 0.168 (#330) AdjNet -24.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.207 (#333) AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.221 (#343) AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 65.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.207 (#318) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.209 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 186 | GP 3 More → 855 (#275) RD 186 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.162 (#300) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 58 - 62
2026-11-05 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 36 - 103
2026-11-08 vs Butler Bulldogs L 42 - 74
2026-11-16 vs Michigan Wolverines - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Summer Davis Summer Davis G 3 26.3 11.3 5.3 1.0 3.7 0.0 3.7 11.3 6.3 - - - - 32.4 30.0 81.8 - 43.8 36.8
Riley Smith Riley Smith F 3 28.0 10.0 3.7 0.3 1.3 0.0 4.0 10.3 1.0 -62 3 -20.7 -29.4 32.3 29.4 71.4 -0.32 44.0 40.3
Indya Davis Indya Davis G 3 23.3 7.7 7.0 1.7 1.7 0.7 2.0 7.7 9.0 -28 3 -9.3 -16.4 26.1 40.0 56.2 1.05 38.3 30.4
Lilah Turnbull Lilah Turnbull G 3 18.7 4.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.7 1.0 -44 3 -14.7 -33.0 35.7 14.3 100.0 -0.49 41.6 39.3
Jailenn Green Jailenn Green G 3 19.7 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.3 3.7 5.7 -3.7 -74 3 -24.7 -52.7 17.6 14.3 66.7 -3.45 28.0 20.6
Kara Bartels Kara Bartels C 3 18.0 3.0 4.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 4.3 3.0 -64 3 -21.3 -47.3 23.1 0 50.0 -4.19 28.8 23.1
Sarah Brown Sarah Brown G 1 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -13 1 -13.0 -58.4 25.0 25.0 0 -1.62 37.5 37.5
Nevaeh Williams Nevaeh Williams PG 3 22.7 3.0 3.3 1.7 2.0 0.0 3.3 5.7 1.0 -38 3 -12.7 -22.5 17.6 0.0 75.0 -0.21 24.0 17.6
Rylan Buschell Rylan Buschell G 3 16.7 1.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 0.0 6.7 1.0 -2.7 -58 3 -19.3 -48.6 33.3 0 50.0 -2.65 42.0 33.3
Taylor Johnson Taylor Johnson C 3 3.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 -12 3 -4.0 -59.0 0.0 0 25.0 -3.66 13.3 0.0
Jayda Mosley Jayda Mosley G 3 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.3 -1.3 -8 3 -2.7 -16.4 0.0 0.0 0 -1.04 0.0 0.0
Jawelle Daquin Jawelle Daquin F 3 12.3 0.0 2.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 1.7 1.0 -26 3 -8.7 -29.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.72 0.0 0.0
Audrey Parker Audrey Parker F 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -3 1 -3.0 -64.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

165 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Smith27% Davis27% Davis33% Davis100% Davis100% Davis25% Smith67% Turnbull50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Davis29% Davis22% Williams29% Davis38% Williams25% Green33% Davis40% Smith36% Davis20% Smith33%
Misses: who misses most here

Riley SmithSummer DavisIndya DavisLilah TurnbullJailenn GreenNevaeh Williams

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 15-43 34.9 30 Riley Smith 27% (8 pts) Summer Davis 27% (8 pts) Summer Davis 29% (8 misses) Indya Davis 18% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 11-38 28.9 22 Indya Davis 27% (6 pts) Summer Davis 27% (6 pts) Indya Davis 22% (6 misses) Jailenn Green 19% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 3-10 30.0 6 Indya Davis 33% (2 pts) Jailenn Green 33% (2 pts) Nevaeh Williams 29% (2 misses) Jailenn Green 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-8 0.0 0 - - Summer Davis 38% (3 misses) Indya Davis 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 1-9 11.1 2 Summer Davis 100% (2 pts) - Nevaeh Williams 25% (2 misses) Indya Davis 12% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Summer Davis 100% (3 pts) - Jailenn Green 33% (2 misses) Riley Smith 33% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 4-14 28.6 12 Indya Davis 25% (3 pts) Jailenn Green 25% (3 pts) Summer Davis 40% (4 misses) Riley Smith 20% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-17 35.3 18 Riley Smith 67% (12 pts) Indya Davis 17% (3 pts) Riley Smith 36% (4 misses) Summer Davis 27% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-5 0.0 0 - - Indya Davis 20% (1 misses) Jailenn Green 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-14 14.3 6 Lilah Turnbull 50% (3 pts) Riley Smith 50% (3 pts) Riley Smith 33% (4 misses) Jailenn Green 25% (3 misses)