Central Connecticut
2026 Team Stats (29 games)
74.4
PPG
70.1
Opp
+3.5
Margin
47.7%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
77.6%
FT%
34.3
RPG
14.0
APG
10.6
TO
74.6
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#218) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 945 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1014 (#150) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.8 (#289) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.0 (#307) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.443 (#206) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.330 (#285) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.400 (#281) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 918 (#241) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Smith Jr.
|
- | 28 | 32.4 | 20.5 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 11.4 | 77 | 4.1 | 88.8 | 45.3 | 37.0 | 90.6 | -0.31 | 58.8 | 51.4 |
M. Frazier
|
- | 28 | 28.1 | 12.1 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 13.6 | 29 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 65.9 | 0.0 | 61.5 | -0.14 | 66.5 | 65.9 |
J. Rodgers
|
- | 28 | 29.1 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 60 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 42.9 | 36.0 | 80.6 | -0.11 | 53.9 | 49.2 |
M. Sanchez
|
- | 27 | 24.5 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 45.8 | 43.2 | 79.2 | -0.35 | 61.6 | 60.0 |
G. Spinelli
|
- | 10 | 14.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 28 | 1.9 | 16.4 | 52.6 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 62.6 | 57.9 |
J. Jones
|
- | 24 | 29.3 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 7.7 | -5 | -0.4 | -68.2 | 42.6 | 30.8 | 60.0 | -0.06 | 48.3 | 46.5 |
R. Jones
|
- | 22 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | -14 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 36.1 | 36.8 | 100.0 | -0.31 | 53.3 | 53.0 |
Ashton Reynolds
|
- | 21 | 10.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 80.8 | 0.14 | 57.5 | 50.8 |
N. Ashley
|
- | 17 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 69.2 | -0.4 | 60.3 | 58.0 |
Daniel Etiosa James
|
- | 26 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 22 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 50.7 | 31.8 | 83.3 | -0.33 | 60.1 | 56.0 |
Ja'Kobe Williams
|
- | 7 | 18.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 | -55 | -7.9 | -36.7 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 70.0 | -0.43 | 35.5 | 28.6 |
Elijah Parker
|
- | 27 | 14.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 77 | 3.9 | 18.4 | 39.7 | 26.9 | 41.2 | 0.57 | 45.4 | 45.2 |
J. Mott
|
- | 14 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 22 | 3.1 | 43.0 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 40.0 | -0.13 | 47.5 | 47.9 |
A. Fox
|
- | 2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Corsley Edwards Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 226 | 10.8 | 20.4 | - | - | - | 1.63 | - | - |
Rashawn Tibby
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG