Central Arkansas Bears
2016 Team Stats (4 games)
62.0
PPG
66.7
Opp
-1.8
Margin
36.2%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
40.3
RPG
12.3
APG
15.3
TO
84.3
Pace
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1072 (#136) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1127 (#101) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.6 (#170) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.760 (#105) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-15 | @ | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L | 47 - 102 |
| 2016-01-11 | vs | Lamar Cardinals | W | 74 - 49 |
| 2016-03-02 | vs | Nicholls Colonels | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2016-03-05 | vs | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2016-03-12 | vs | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2016-03-13 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | L | 60 - 87 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Watts
|
F | 4 | 30.5 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 77.8 | 0 | 2.01 | 51.1 | 51.1 |
B. Mullins
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 39.5 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 1.31 | 49.7 | 46.1 |
T. Baudoin
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 9.8 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.78 | 56.1 | 57.6 |
M. Proffitt
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 11.0 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 20.5 | 29.4 | 85.7 | 1.64 | 34.9 | 26.1 |
S. Jackson
|
G | 4 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 | 1.21 | 51.6 | 40.0 |
R. Lane
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.95 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
O. McWilliams
|
G | 4 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 38.0 | 30.6 |
J. Watkins
|
G | 4 | 25.5 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 15.8 | 0.0 | 63.6 | 0.19 | 27.3 | 15.8 |
R. Logan
|
C | 4 | 18.8 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 33.3 | 1.1 | 51.9 | 57.1 |
T. Strickland
|
F | 3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
T. Novokreshchenova
|
C | 2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.88 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
A. Williams
|
G | 3 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.53 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
T. Paylor
|
F | 2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG