🐻⬇️🏀

Central Ark.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Central Ark.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 924 (#377) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 949 (#313) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +3.9 (#145) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#34) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.514 (#441) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.3 More → 0.572 (#211) NetEff +2.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +68.0 More → 1.000 (#20) AdjNet +68.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.8 More → 0.579 (#356) AdjNet +2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +66.9 More → 1.000 (#18) AdjNet +66.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More → 0.577 (#355) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 36.8 More → 0.981 (#30) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 36.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.524 (#358) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 62.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Hendrix - Incomplete score
2024-11-08 vs St. Olaf - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 vs Monmouth (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-11-13 vs Grinnell - Incomplete score
2024-11-15 vs Northland - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 vs Wis.-Eau Claire - Incomplete score
2024-11-22 @ Wis.-Oshkosh - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs Wis.-Platteville - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 @ Simpson - Incomplete score
2024-12-04 vs Buena Vista - Incomplete score
2024-12-07 vs Wartburg - Incomplete score
2024-12-17 @ North Central (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-01-01 @ Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 @ Coe - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 vs Loras - Incomplete score
2025-01-15 @ Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 @ Dubuque - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 vs Luther - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2025-01-29 vs Simpson - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs Coe - Incomplete score
2025-02-05 @ Buena Vista - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Loras - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Dubuque - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 vs Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 @ Luther - Incomplete score
2025-02-25 @ Simpson - Incomplete score
2025-02-27 @ Coe - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Abby Johnson - 27 28.0 12.4 4.0 1.3 1.0 0.4 1.0 10.8 7.2 3 0.1 0.1 40.1 34.9 83.7 -0.13 53.9 51.2
Emily Naughton - 27 22.9 9.4 3.2 2.9 1.4 0.3 2.9 8.7 5.7 7 0.2 0.2 39.7 25.0 76.2 -0.53 47.2 41.2
Cece Moore - 1 25.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 40 1.1 1.5 66.7 0.0 0 -0.06 66.7 66.7
Samantha Scott - 26 19.7 7.4 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.8 6.1 4.2 -37 -1.4 -2.5 42.8 39.0 100.0 0.1 60.0 59.4
Hannah Dau - 27 23.7 6.7 3.7 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.7 6.7 4.7 32 1.2 1.5 35.7 31.4 69.2 0.04 46.5 44.5
Gabby Moore - 25 22.3 6.0 3.4 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.9 6.0 4.2 -5 -0.2 -0.3 32.9 27.4 73.5 -0.09 44.3 38.6
Kaitlyn Mumm - 23 16.3 5.0 3.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.1 4.4 4.4 26 0.9 1.5 41.2 31.1 76.2 -0.43 51.2 48.0
Bailey Reding - 27 13.1 4.4 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.1 3.6 3.6 19 0.5 1.2 46.9 33.3 61.0 -0.14 51.3 48.0
Jasmyn Williams - 27 17.4 3.7 2.2 3.0 1.1 0.1 2.2 2.8 5.1 -3 -0.1 -0.1 42.7 10.0 63.6 -0.8 50.4 43.3
Allie Rateike - 26 5.9 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.2 -16 -0.7 -2.8 28.9 24.3 50.0 -0.2 40.2 38.9
Jadyn Filling - 26 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.4 3 0.1 0.3 24.3 17.2 0 0.21 31.1 31.1
Abbey Bence - 26 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 28 1.5 3.6 32.0 16.7 100.0 0.02 43.4 36.0
McKenzie Snook - 26 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 29 2.2 4.9 60.0 0.0 100.0 -0.08 71.2 60.0
Miah Urban - 26 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 - - - 12.5 0.0 100.0 - 22.5 12.5
Lainey Duggan - 26 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Danika Arnold - 26 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - 50.0 50.0 25.0 - 52.1 62.5
Rori Nehring - 19 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Anna Newton - 22 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Olivia Taylor - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Penn - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Adrianna Boulden - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ava Wolf - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Anna Bartels - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chloe Klabo - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Greta Larsen - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Addison Brown - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28 1.4 5.1 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
Tristan Gordon - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.7 -3.2 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG