Cedarville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 916 (#406) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 862 (#641) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#210) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.8 (#353) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.217 (#481) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#52) | NetEff +51.6 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.524 (#273) | NetEff +0.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.385 (#447) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.397 (#448) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#450) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.468 (#435) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.453 (#397) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.437 (#409) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 880 (#390) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Miami (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Ohio Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Wheeling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ursuline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Sellars | - | 20 | 29.4 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 9.9 | 7.5 | -32 | -1.4 | -5.7 | 40.9 | 27.0 | 85.0 | -0.75 | 51.5 | 43.4 |
| Emma Kay Martin | - | 20 | 25.1 | 11.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 2.8 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 32.6 | 21.5 | 68.0 | 0.91 | 39.0 | 35.8 |
| Brianna Zajicek | - | 3 | 22.2 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 8.7 | -12 | -2.4 | -11.1 | 45.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -1.66 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| Cait Behling | - | 19 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 4.9 | -37 | -1.9 | -15.0 | 34.7 | 27.1 | 83.3 | -1.89 | 45.0 | 42.3 |
| Regan Hubert | - | 20 | 27.0 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -66 | -2.8 | -12.2 | 37.1 | 33.0 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 48.4 | 47.9 |
| Chloe Downing | - | 20 | 25.7 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 27 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 32.6 | 33.3 | 62.5 | 0.54 | 40.1 | 39.3 |
| Harmony Laker | - | 17 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 7 | 0.4 | 4.9 | 41.6 | 36.8 | 66.7 | 2.78 | 51.5 | 50.6 |
| Sarah Loughry | - | 20 | 18.5 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 46.8 | 15.0 | 76.0 | 0.03 | 53.3 | 48.7 |
| Jenna Sandel | - | 14 | 19.8 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 | -17 | -1.1 | -3.5 | 45.3 | 0 | 47.6 | -2.23 | 46.6 | 45.3 |
| Elyssa Kincaid | - | 3 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.67 | 43.0 | 44.4 |
| Hannah Mayse | - | 20 | 14.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 32 | 1.4 | 14.6 | 40.4 | 22.2 | 68.8 | 2.28 | 49.2 | 45.6 |
| Samantha Toney | - | 18 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | -35 | -1.7 | -22.9 | 47.8 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.88 | 49.3 | 47.8 |
| Ali Solomon | - | 5 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 28 | 5.6 | 236.6 | 40.0 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 2.6 | 48.6 | 45.0 |
| Janiek Wesseling | - | 9 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 36 | 4.0 | 65.3 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 58.8 | 59.1 |
| Braeli Adrian | - | 3 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.7 | 14.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG