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Cedarville

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Cedarville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1008 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 973 (#313) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 862 (#641) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.8 (#166) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +0.8 (#353) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.217 (#481) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +51.6 More → 0.999 (#52) NetEff +51.6
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.7 More → 0.524 (#273) NetEff +0.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.385 (#447) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.397 (#448) AdjNet -3.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.442 (#450) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.468 (#435) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 62.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.454 (#396) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.438 (#409) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 868 (#415) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Miami (OH) L 49 - 88
2025-11-14 @ Quincy L 57 - 71
2025-11-15 @ Truman St. W 62 - 60
2025-11-18 @ Central St. (OH) L 52 - 62
2025-11-22 vs Roberts Wesleyan W 77 - 42
2025-11-28 @ Eckerd L 53 - 64
2025-11-29 vs Barry W 67 - 56
2025-12-04 @ Ashland L 52 - 54
2025-12-06 @ Thomas More W 63 - 51
2025-12-11 vs Malone L 52 - 75
2025-12-13 vs Ohio Dominican W 68 - 65
2025-12-17 vs Ohio Christian W 107 - 41
2025-12-20 vs Wheeling W 87 - 82
2026-01-15 @ Hillsdale L 65 - 83
2026-01-17 @ Ursuline L 61 - 63
2026-01-22 vs Northwood L 48 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 67 - 74
2026-01-29 @ Lake Erie L 68 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Findlay L 57 - 60
2026-02-05 @ Ohio Dominican L 53 - 58
2026-02-07 vs Thomas More L 53 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ella Sellars - 21 29.2 11.6 3.7 2.9 1.9 0.1 3.2 9.9 7.1 -32 -1.4 -5.7 39.6 25.6 84.1 0.61 50.2 42.3
Emma Kay Martin - 21 25.0 10.9 3.7 1.3 1.6 0.0 2.0 12.9 2.7 8 0.4 1.4 32.6 22.2 68.0 -2.35 39.0 35.9
Regan Hubert - 21 27.0 7.5 3.8 1.4 1.2 0.0 1.9 7.1 5.0 -66 -2.8 -12.2 38.3 34.7 50.0 -1.89 50.1 49.7
Cait Behling - 20 20.7 7.3 4.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 7.8 4.5 -37 -1.9 -15.0 34.2 26.1 85.0 -3.35 44.6 41.6
Brianna Zajicek - 4 21.9 7.0 6.0 1.0 1.2 0.2 2.2 5.5 7.8 -12 -2.4 -11.1 40.9 28.6 80.0 -1.91 53.0 45.5
Chloe Downing - 21 25.5 5.7 3.4 2.0 1.4 0.8 1.1 6.7 5.4 27 1.2 5.7 33.3 34.5 62.5 -1.95 41.2 40.4
Sarah Loughry - 20 18.5 4.8 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.1 -8 -0.4 -2.3 46.8 15.0 76.0 1.17 53.3 48.7
Harmony Laker - 18 13.7 4.6 2.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.3 4.3 3.1 7 0.4 4.9 41.6 36.8 66.7 1.41 51.5 50.6
Jenna Sandel - 15 19.7 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.6 3.6 3.3 -17 -1.1 -3.5 46.3 0 47.6 -0.22 47.4 46.3
Elyssa Kincaid - 3 10.3 3.3 3.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.3 - - - 44.4 0.0 33.3 - 43.0 44.4
Hannah Mayse - 21 14.6 3.2 2.6 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.6 32 1.4 14.6 38.3 22.2 75.0 0.4 48.7 43.3
Samantha Toney - 19 9.2 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.2 -35 -1.7 -22.9 49.0 0 66.7 -0.7 50.3 49.0
Ali Solomon - 6 6.8 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.7 1.7 28 5.6 236.6 40.0 16.7 66.7 0.16 48.6 45.0
Janiek Wesseling - 10 5.8 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 36 4.0 65.3 46.2 100.0 50.0 -0.26 50.8 50.0
Braeli Adrian - 3 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 2 0.7 14.8 100.0 0 0 0.18 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG