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Cedarville

Also known as: Cedarville
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1038 (#151) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +4.6 (#174) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.656 (#249) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.4 More → 0.408 (#260) NetEff -3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.840 (#205) AdjNet +14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.845 (#205) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.736 (#201) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 70.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Truman St. L 72 - 79
2024-11-09 vs Quincy W 77 - 66
2024-11-13 vs Boyce W 91 - 64
2024-11-18 vs Wilberforce W 79 - 69
2024-11-23 vs Central St. (OH) W 89 - 73
2024-11-30 @ Charleston (WV) W 86 - 77
2024-12-05 @ Walsh L 73 - 75
2024-12-07 vs Thomas More W 82 - 71
2024-12-14 vs Northwood W 62 - 54
2024-12-19 vs Ferris St. L 67 - 81
2025-01-02 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 57 - 84
2025-01-04 vs Findlay L 74 - 86
2025-01-09 vs Malone L 57 - 59
2025-01-11 @ Hillsdale L 49 - 77
2025-01-16 @ Malone W 81 - 71
2025-01-18 vs Ky. Wesleyan L 63 - 80
2025-01-23 vs Ohio Dominican L 51 - 68
2025-01-30 vs Hillsdale W 81 - 65
2025-02-01 @ Findlay W 77 - 70
2025-02-06 @ Ashland L 59 - 73
2025-02-08 vs Lake Erie L 51 - 74
2025-02-13 @ Thomas More L 82 - 88
2025-02-15 @ Lake Erie L 66 - 74
2025-02-20 vs Walsh L 79 - 80
2025-02-22 vs Ashland W 81 - 69
2025-02-25 @ Tiffin W 86 - 70
2025-03-01 @ Ohio Dominican L 75 - 77
2025-03-04 @ Findlay W 67 - 65
2025-03-07 @ Thomas More L 71 - 72

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylen Davis - 29 26.7 14.3 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.6 1.6 10.2 10.6 -127 -5.3 -14.7 42.4 40.8 87.7 -0.29 60.2 54.0
Sam Johnson - 29 31.3 12.7 6.0 1.0 0.6 0.8 1.5 9.5 10.1 -73 -2.0 -6.4 49.3 26.3 54.4 -0.24 53.9 52.0
Anthony Ruffolo - 24 23.2 10.2 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.0 2.2 9.0 6.8 -135 -5.4 -22.3 40.7 28.7 78.7 -0.31 52.0 48.4
Tymoteusz Pszczola - 29 17.8 8.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.4 1.2 6.7 8.0 -124 -4.4 -21.3 51.8 35.3 92.1 0.13 60.3 56.5
Ethan Sellars - 29 31.1 8.7 1.7 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.7 7.2 5.6 -91 -2.7 -8.8 42.8 38.2 85.7 -0.16 57.2 54.8
Kyle Thomas - 29 24.6 6.6 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.4 5.4 5.2 -41 -1.5 -4.9 40.4 35.8 78.1 0.76 55.9 52.9
Timothy Davis - 28 21.2 6.5 2.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.9 5.6 4.7 -85 -4.7 -13.7 39.2 36.6 77.4 0.46 53.0 50.0
David Okpara - 29 14.8 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.9 5.1 -71 -3.5 -16.1 61.4 0 56.0 0.14 61.7 61.4
Jon Willeman - 22 9.8 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.2 3.0 -20 -1.7 -10.2 50.0 50.0 78.6 -0.08 66.9 61.5
Aaron Smith - 28 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 -26 -1.9 -3.0 83.3 0 50.0 0.66 75.2 83.3
Seth LaRavia - 27 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 - - - 10.0 16.7 75.0 - 25.5 15.0
Nicholas Epifano - 29 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Ondrej Plasil - 27 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG