Cedarville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1050 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 922 (#518) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.1 (#157) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.2 (#209) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.656 (#249) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#19) | NetEff +72.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.840 (#205) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.845 (#205) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.736 (#201) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.604 (#144) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 73.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.598 (#234) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.583 (#247) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#260) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Quincy | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Truman St. | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Wright St.-Lake | W | 101 - 53 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Ill. Springfield | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Great Lake Christian | W | 92 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Thomas More | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Malone | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Point Park | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | UC Clermont | W | 98 - 79 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 84 - 54 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Tiffin | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Walsh | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ashland | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Northwood | W | 101 - 82 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 82 - 90 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Findlay | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Thomas More | L | 62 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Ruffolo | - | 22 | 30.3 | 16.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 13.3 | 8.3 | -14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 43.0 | 33.6 | 86.0 | -0.64 | 55.2 | 51.5 |
| Sam Johnson | - | 22 | 27.4 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 10.2 | 11.9 | -51 | -2.3 | -8.9 | 61.2 | 36.8 | 52.6 | -0.86 | 62.3 | 62.7 |
| Jaylen Davis | - | 20 | 26.1 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 10.5 | 8.0 | -63 | -3.1 | -10.5 | 43.8 | 38.3 | 81.4 | 1.54 | 59.0 | 56.0 |
| Will Gibson | - | 22 | 22.3 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 8.5 | -92 | -4.2 | -22.4 | 51.2 | 33.3 | 48.9 | -2.33 | 52.5 | 52.0 |
| Ethan Sellars | - | 20 | 23.2 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 3.6 | -105 | -5.2 | -33.2 | 38.2 | 35.9 | 87.5 | -1.33 | 53.0 | 51.6 |
| Jonathan Whiteside | - | 22 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 7.5 | -26 | -1.2 | -7.8 | 66.2 | 0.0 | 61.3 | 0.07 | 67.2 | 66.2 |
| Curtis Blair III | - | 22 | 16.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 31 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 41.2 | 25.0 | 65.8 | -0.48 | 49.7 | 45.4 |
| Mikail Harmison | - | 22 | 16.4 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 26 | 1.2 | 10.6 | 37.0 | 27.9 | 91.7 | 2.18 | 53.1 | 47.3 |
| Jordan Jonathan | - | 22 | 18.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 54.0 | 44.4 | 64.3 | -0.46 | 63.2 | 62.0 |
| Braden Woodall | - | 5 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Aaron Smith | - | 3 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | -66 | -3.1 | -43.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.17 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Andrew Blanton | - | 19 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 40 | 4.4 | 28.2 | 50.0 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 2.95 | 63.0 | 63.5 |
| Justin Munger | - | 3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Trevor Ruble | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tomas Grunt | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG