Catholic
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1070 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1192 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1167 (#42) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.9 (#61) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.5 (#135) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.957 (#193) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.834 (#204) | NetEff +11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#153) | AdjNet +29.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.967 (#153) | AdjNet +28.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.835 (#156) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.827 (#42) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1275 (#32) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 49 - 73 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Goucher | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lycoming | W | 92 - 44 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Juniata | W | 77 - 38 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Roanoke | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Drew | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Susquehanna | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Scranton | L | 41 - 71 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Elizabethtown | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lycoming | W | 97 - 45 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Goucher | W | 94 - 42 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Wilkes | W | 68 - 40 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Juniata | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Moravian | W | 84 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Scoblick | - | 14 | 25.8 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 9.9 | 10.8 | 151 | 8.9 | 60.3 | 45.7 | 25.0 | 50.8 | 0.89 | 47.9 | 46.0 |
| Lauren Kraft | - | 17 | 20.6 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 149 | 7.5 | 63.0 | 44.1 | 38.5 | 63.2 | 3.43 | 58.7 | 57.9 |
| Carly Catania | - | 18 | 26.2 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 9.6 | 157 | 7.8 | 59.8 | 47.1 | 26.1 | 80.0 | 2.62 | 54.1 | 51.0 |
| Amelia Kennedy | - | 17 | 22.2 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 8.8 | 153 | 7.7 | 55.5 | 53.3 | 35.0 | 59.6 | 2.4 | 57.9 | 56.2 |
| Olivia Boccella | - | 18 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 101 | 4.8 | 57.6 | 37.2 | 37.5 | 0 | 1.15 | 54.7 | 54.7 |
| Juliana O'Dowd | - | 10 | 11.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 55 | 5.0 | 33.1 | 36.4 | 11.8 | 69.2 | -0.09 | 42.0 | 38.2 |
| Raquel Guidetti | - | 18 | 16.1 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 122 | 5.8 | 43.5 | 35.0 | 23.5 | 92.9 | 1.84 | 40.8 | 36.9 |
| Alexa Kenah | - | 17 | 14.8 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 120 | 6.0 | 60.7 | 37.5 | 31.4 | 88.9 | 3.05 | 47.0 | 44.4 |
| McKenna Karlson | - | 18 | 19.8 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 88 | 4.6 | 30.4 | 29.2 | 14.7 | 61.3 | 1.09 | 36.5 | 31.8 |
| Allie Falesto | - | 8 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 6 | 6.0 | 11.2 | 40.6 | 30.0 | 42.9 | -0.79 | 45.6 | 45.3 |
| Alexandra Falesto | - | 1 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6 | 6.0 | 11.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.79 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sofia Travieso | - | 14 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 66 | 3.9 | 44.1 | 38.7 | 27.8 | 80.0 | 2.1 | 52.3 | 46.8 |
| Ella Iacone | - | 14 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 63 | 3.7 | 57.8 | 48.3 | 46.7 | 28.6 | 0.18 | 57.7 | 60.3 |
| Bridget Archbold | - | 3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Anna Kreinbrook | - | 11 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 64 | 4.9 | 36.8 | 31.8 | 0 | 45.5 | 2.61 | 35.4 | 31.8 |
| Gabrielle Johnson | - | 3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 10 | 2.5 | 54.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Sam Blumenthal | - | 13 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 57 | 3.8 | 117.1 | 30.8 | 0 | 38.5 | -1.12 | 33.1 | 30.8 |
| Lia Villa | - | 13 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 8 | 0.5 | 22.5 | 41.2 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 0.79 | 53.5 | 52.9 |
| Ryan Burden | - | 12 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 41 | 3.2 | 58.1 | 26.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 1.76 | 32.7 | 31.6 |
| Brooke Kroptavich | - | 6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 19 | 2.7 | 66.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Maggie Hughes | - | 7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.2 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.91 | 75.4 | 50.0 |
| Annalise Kubasko | - | 3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 61.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.12 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Molly McLaughlin | - | 11 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 34 | 2.6 | 40.8 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.6 | 29.4 | 29.4 |
| Angelina Dragone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Delaney Cusack | - | 2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.5 | -17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG