🐻⬇️🏀

Catholic

Also known as: Catholic
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1070 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1192 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1167 (#42) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +14.9 (#61) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +17.5 (#135) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.957 (#193) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.5 More → 0.834 (#204) NetEff +11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.0 More → 0.966 (#153) AdjNet +29.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.6 More → 0.967 (#153) AdjNet +28.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 56.9 More → 0.835 (#156) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 56.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 55.2 More → 0.827 (#42) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 55.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.880 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.878 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 21 More → 1275 (#32) RD 110 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Shenandoah L 59 - 62
2025-11-15 @ Johns Hopkins L 49 - 73
2025-11-16 @ Bridgewater (VA) W 68 - 48
2025-11-19 vs Goucher W 72 - 50
2025-11-22 @ Lycoming W 92 - 44
2025-12-03 vs Juniata W 77 - 38
2025-12-15 vs Roanoke W 80 - 79
2025-12-16 vs Randolph-Macon L 57 - 68
2025-12-20 @ Chris. Newport L 73 - 81
2026-01-10 vs Drew W 66 - 53
2026-01-14 @ Susquehanna W 66 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Scranton L 41 - 71
2026-01-21 vs Elizabethtown W 84 - 65
2026-01-24 vs Lycoming W 97 - 45
2026-01-28 @ Goucher W 94 - 42
2026-01-31 @ Wilkes W 68 - 40
2026-02-04 @ Juniata W 73 - 67
2026-02-07 vs Moravian W 84 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anna Scoblick - 14 25.8 11.3 5.4 4.4 1.6 0.8 2.9 9.9 10.8 151 8.9 60.3 45.7 25.0 50.8 0.89 47.9 46.0
Lauren Kraft - 17 20.6 10.6 4.5 0.9 1.8 0.5 1.2 8.5 8.5 149 7.5 63.0 44.1 38.5 63.2 3.43 58.7 57.9
Carly Catania - 18 26.2 10.2 5.8 1.9 1.4 0.3 1.3 8.7 9.6 157 7.8 59.8 47.1 26.1 80.0 2.62 54.1 51.0
Amelia Kennedy - 17 22.2 9.6 4.5 1.6 1.5 0.3 1.7 7.1 8.8 153 7.7 55.5 53.3 35.0 59.6 2.4 57.9 56.2
Olivia Boccella - 18 10.4 5.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 4.8 2.3 101 4.8 57.6 37.2 37.5 0 1.15 54.7 54.7
Juliana O'Dowd - 10 11.8 5.1 2.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.8 5.5 2.4 55 5.0 33.1 36.4 11.8 69.2 -0.09 42.0 38.2
Raquel Guidetti - 18 16.1 4.9 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 5.7 1.8 122 5.8 43.5 35.0 23.5 92.9 1.84 40.8 36.9
Alexa Kenah - 17 14.8 4.6 4.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 4.7 5.8 120 6.0 60.7 37.5 31.4 88.9 3.05 47.0 44.4
McKenna Karlson - 18 19.8 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 1.3 5.3 2.2 88 4.6 30.4 29.2 14.7 61.3 1.09 36.5 31.8
Allie Falesto - 8 17.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.6 6 6.0 11.2 40.6 30.0 42.9 -0.79 45.6 45.3
Alexandra Falesto - 1 16.1 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 6 6.0 11.2 50.0 0 0 -0.79 50.0 50.0
Sofia Travieso - 14 6.8 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.2 2.5 66 3.9 44.1 38.7 27.8 80.0 2.1 52.3 46.8
Ella Iacone - 14 6.7 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.0 63 3.7 57.8 48.3 46.7 28.6 0.18 57.7 60.3
Bridget Archbold - 3 3.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.7 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 50.9 41.7
Anna Kreinbrook - 11 9.8 1.7 3.3 0.5 0.3 1.4 1.2 2.0 3.9 64 4.9 36.8 31.8 0 45.5 2.61 35.4 31.8
Gabrielle Johnson - 3 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 10 2.5 54.1 100.0 0 50.0 0.39 86.8 100.0
Sam Blumenthal - 13 7.6 1.6 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.5 57 3.8 117.1 30.8 0 38.5 -1.12 33.1 30.8
Lia Villa - 13 5.6 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.2 8 0.5 22.5 41.2 36.4 50.0 0.79 53.5 52.9
Ryan Burden - 12 5.9 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.6 41 3.2 58.1 26.3 40.0 50.0 1.76 32.7 31.6
Brooke Kroptavich - 6 3.9 1.0 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.0 19 2.7 66.6 40.0 0 100.0 -0.02 51.0 40.0
Maggie Hughes - 7 4.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.3 10 1.2 35.0 50.0 0.0 83.3 -0.91 75.4 50.0
Annalise Kubasko - 3 4.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 15 3.8 61.7 50.0 50.0 0 1.12 75.0 75.0
Molly McLaughlin - 11 5.0 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 0.0 34 2.6 40.8 29.4 0.0 0 -0.6 29.4 29.4
Angelina Dragone - 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Delaney Cusack - 2 6.7 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -1 -0.5 -17.1 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG