Catawba
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 947 (#228) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.6 (#141) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.632 (#313) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.517 (#218) | NetEff +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.728 (#312) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.734 (#313) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#308) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 63.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 70 - 90 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 92 - 65 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 80 - 92 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 65 - 87 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Tusculum | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 49 - 67 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | North Georgia | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Newberry | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Wingate | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Coker | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | W | 56 - 48 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wingate | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Limestone | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Newberry | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Tusculum | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Coker | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Limestone | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 53 - 52 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-03-05 | @ | Wingate | L | 56 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janiya Foskey | - | 29 | 23.8 | 15.0 | 7.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 13.0 | 74 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 56.0 | 25.0 | 73.5 | 0.77 | 60.7 | 56.3 |
| Nala Baker | - | 29 | 27.6 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 73 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 35.5 | 32.9 | 71.2 | 0.81 | 47.4 | 44.3 |
| Bailee Goodlett | - | 29 | 26.1 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 95 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 37.8 | 31.5 | 77.3 | 0.73 | 46.0 | 41.2 |
| Mary Spry | - | 15 | 16.2 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 50.5 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -0.08 | 53.5 | 50.9 |
| Saniya Wilson | - | 27 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 2.7 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 37.2 | 18.6 | 71.7 | 0.11 | 46.2 | 39.9 |
| Kairah Dixon-booker | - | 3 | 19.0 | 5.3 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 31 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 39.4 | 33.3 |
| Jada Porter | - | 17 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 15 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 30.7 | 27.8 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 41.2 | 40.7 |
| Brooklin Ingram | - | 28 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 11 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 31.9 | 23.1 | 86.7 | 0.16 | 41.8 | 38.5 |
| Sydney Gueterman | - | 29 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 85 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 41.2 | 30.2 | 70.0 | 0.14 | 50.3 | 48.8 |
| Imani Williams | - | 24 | 12.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 1.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 31.4 | 25.0 | 56.5 | -0.11 | 38.5 | 35.5 |
| Julie Janus | - | 28 | 12.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.8 | 43.6 | 40.0 | 57.1 | 0.11 | 56.8 | 56.4 |
| Natalie Lara fuertes | - | 2 | 20.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kaira Dixon-booker | - | 2 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 31 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.13 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| Sheree Gidney | - | 29 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 23.2 | 0.0 | 70.6 | 0.04 | 29.9 | 23.2 |
| Mazie Helpman | - | 28 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 32.4 | 28.6 |
| Abi Svenson | - | 26 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 40.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 55.3 | 55.0 |
| Jameria Robinson | - | 26 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -34 | -2.1 | -5.0 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 17.9 | 17.9 |
| Yvonne Lee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG