Catawba
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 922 (#431) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 932 (#579) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#234) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.2 (#443) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.632 (#313) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.477 (#285) | NetEff -0.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.728 (#312) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.734 (#313) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#308) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.381 (#546) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.369 (#476) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.364 (#479) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 914 (#348) | RD 100 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Columbus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Augusta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mars Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Tusculum | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Spry | - | 16 | 26.7 | 18.6 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 12.4 | 14.8 | -87 | -4.8 | -21.6 | 53.5 | 25.0 | 84.7 | -1.82 | 61.6 | 54.0 |
| Bailee Goodlett | - | 7 | 28.0 | 12.6 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 10.7 | 6.9 | -16 | -2.3 | -10.6 | 40.0 | 27.3 | 89.3 | 1.1 | 50.4 | 42.0 |
| Brooklin Ingram | - | 19 | 29.2 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | -45 | -2.1 | -12.3 | 30.7 | 26.4 | 77.8 | 1.16 | 40.5 | 38.8 |
| Sheree Gidney | - | 19 | 18.3 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 3.9 | -18 | -0.9 | -6.3 | 43.5 | 32.1 | 67.5 | 2.61 | 50.5 | 46.9 |
| Saniya Wilson | - | 19 | 19.3 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 4.0 | -52 | -2.6 | -24.0 | 37.9 | 23.3 | 75.0 | 0.01 | 47.1 | 41.3 |
| Kaira Dixon-Booker | - | 19 | 20.7 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 4.8 | -62 | -3.1 | -25.3 | 33.0 | 21.7 | 73.3 | -2.2 | 44.2 | 35.7 |
| Imani Williams | - | 19 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 1.8 | -56 | -2.8 | -17.9 | 30.2 | 21.4 | 67.9 | -0.8 | 37.0 | 32.8 |
| Makayla Stokes | - | 19 | 20.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | -86 | -4.1 | -31.3 | 23.7 | 25.0 | 69.8 | -1.02 | 38.4 | 30.1 |
| Julie Janus | - | 19 | 20.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 49 | 2.5 | 25.2 | 24.6 | 17.9 | 64.3 | 5.7 | 35.6 | 28.5 |
| Kaelyn Allen | - | 19 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -16 | -0.9 | -8.3 | 20.8 | 21.6 | 0 | 1.88 | 31.1 | 31.1 |
| Gianna Miclis | - | 8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 0.7 | 157.9 | 80.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.41 | 59.2 | 80.0 |
| Amaya Glenn | - | 13 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -33 | -2.5 | -37.8 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -2.63 | 35.7 | 27.8 |
| Jasmyn Jenkins | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 68 | 3.2 | 16.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.11 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ashantes Lewis | - | 2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -3.5 | -23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.83 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG