Catawba
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1147 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1155 (#35) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.5 (#57) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.677 (#235) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.561 (#189) | NetEff +2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.823 (#220) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.849 (#200) | AdjNet +14.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.744 (#188) | AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 71.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Lander | W | 97 - 96 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Young Harris | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Carson-Newman | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | UVA Wise | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 108 - 112 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Tusculum | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Carson-Newman | W | 91 - 63 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Newberry | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Wingate | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2025-01-13 | vs | Livingstone | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Coker | W | 93 - 86 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 53 - 83 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wingate | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Limestone | L | 86 - 93 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Newberry | W | 90 - 83 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Tusculum | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Coker | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Emory & Henry | L | 78 - 93 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Limestone | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 87 - 85 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 104 - 54 |
| 2025-03-05 | @ | Coker | L | 0 - 75 |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 71 - 80 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zhao | - | 1 | 38.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | -59 | -2.3 | -5.0 | 58.3 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Kris Robinson | - | 30 | 27.8 | 14.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 7.1 | -118 | -4.2 | -12.9 | 38.4 | 37.3 | 84.9 | 0.47 | 56.9 | 51.6 |
| Nick Walker | - | 26 | 22.4 | 12.9 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 11.4 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 60.8 | 0.0 | 68.3 | 1.07 | 63.7 | 60.8 |
| Ibra Athie | - | 26 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 10.1 | -25 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 50.3 | 16.7 | 74.4 | 0.66 | 56.4 | 51.0 |
| Justin Banks | - | 26 | 16.5 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 24 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 53.9 | 33.3 | 70.0 | -0.07 | 59.5 | 54.9 |
| Montraivis White | - | 22 | 22.3 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 3.0 | -82 | -2.7 | -12.2 | 32.4 | 27.8 | 72.0 | 0.16 | 40.9 | 38.5 |
| Solomon Tucker | - | 25 | 16.0 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 6.8 | -45 | -1.8 | -13.6 | 61.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.37 | 64.4 | 61.2 |
| Zion McDuffie | - | 26 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 28 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 55.7 | 50.0 | 52.8 | 0.08 | 58.1 | 57.8 |
| Jashaun Hawkins | - | 25 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 62 | 3.0 | 45.3 | 34.3 | 34.0 | 66.7 | -0.02 | 47.5 | 41.7 |
| O'Mazeon Tinsley | - | 23 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -12 | -0.9 | -3.5 | 31.3 | 27.3 | 85.7 | 0.18 | 38.7 | 34.7 |
| Naijah Buchanan | - | 12 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.3 | 43.9 | 42.5 |
| Caleb Jones | - | 26 | 15.8 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 4.9 | -78 | -3.7 | -15.6 | 46.4 | 17.6 | 65.7 | 0.64 | 52.3 | 48.2 |
| Chase Daniel | - | 29 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 4.5 | -24 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 35.4 | 29.7 | 93.3 | 0.19 | 50.9 | 42.1 |
| Matt Bilbrey | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -39 | -1.9 | -26.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Hilliard | - | 28 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -26 | -1.5 | -22.7 | 55.9 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.3 | 58.6 | 55.9 |
| Shad Thomas | - | 11 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Paxton Broadway | - | 10 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.8 | 61.1 |
| Carson Daniel | - | 29 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 24 | 1.0 | 18.3 | 26.7 | 22.2 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 36.8 | 33.3 |
| Yuri Manns | - | 15 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Cameron Ming | - | 26 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ousmane Dia | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.6 | -9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Camden McElhaney | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.7 | -3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG