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Carthage

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Carthage
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 980 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 977 (#265) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +13.9 (#60) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.708 (#362) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.7 More → 0.679 (#167) NetEff +5.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.3 More → 0.880 (#227) AdjNet +17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.1 More → 0.883 (#227) AdjNet +17.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.706 (#234) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 58.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ UChicago L 48 - 58
2024-11-13 vs Lawrence W 71 - 44
2024-11-16 @ Benedictine (IL) W 54 - 42
2024-11-20 @ St. Norbert W 69 - 68
2024-11-26 @ Lake Forest W 79 - 54
2024-11-30 vs MSOE W 70 - 52
2024-12-04 vs Carroll (WI) L 57 - 62
2024-12-14 @ Augustana (IL) W 71 - 57
2024-12-18 vs John Carroll W 69 - 54
2024-12-19 @ Saint Joseph (CT) W 71 - 65
2024-12-30 vs Luther W 68 - 57
2025-01-04 vs North Park W 82 - 42
2025-01-08 vs Elmhurst W 68 - 58
2025-01-11 vs Millikin L 52 - 55
2025-01-15 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 42 - 63
2025-01-18 @ Wheaton (IL) W 56 - 54
2025-01-22 @ North Central (IL) W 63 - 60
2025-01-25 vs Augustana (IL) W 61 - 52
2025-01-29 @ Carroll (WI) L 53 - 80
2025-02-01 @ North Park W 56 - 40
2025-02-05 vs North Central (IL) L 50 - 62
2025-02-08 vs Ill. Wesleyan W 87 - 81
2025-02-15 vs Wheaton (IL) L 57 - 60
2025-02-19 @ Elmhurst L 68 - 75
2025-02-22 @ Millikin W 71 - 55
2025-02-25 vs Millikin L 57 - 63

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marianna Morrissey - 26 32.3 14.6 5.8 1.7 2.1 0.5 3.1 13.7 8.0 66 2.5 2.6 39.3 29.5 64.2 0.69 46.5 42.6
Malia Green - 26 24.7 9.5 3.1 1.0 1.6 0.6 1.7 8.2 6.0 -32 -0.9 -1.0 44.3 33.0 63.2 -0.37 54.2 52.8
Emma Carlson - 24 23.6 8.2 7.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 1.7 6.6 9.9 63 2.9 3.7 50.3 0.0 75.5 0.63 54.6 50.3
Emma Thistle - 26 33.4 7.7 3.5 4.4 1.2 0.2 3.4 6.4 7.2 58 2.2 2.2 35.9 32.2 72.6 0.77 50.5 44.3
Alyssa Orozco - 25 15.0 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.1 5.8 4.0 52 1.6 2.4 37.9 31.1 64.4 0.71 50.7 47.6
Grace Cord - 26 12.9 6.2 3.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.6 4.2 5.2 -58 -1.7 -3.0 56.5 20.0 79.2 -0.25 62.3 56.9
Elena Knebel - 26 19.9 4.3 3.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.5 4.7 3.8 12 0.5 0.8 40.5 36.4 40.0 0.08 45.5 45.5
Nora Ahram - 26 15.8 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.9 2.1 -13 -0.4 -0.6 29.7 24.2 62.5 0.12 38.3 37.1
Grace Wamser - 20 12.1 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.4 1.1 21 1.2 2.8 37.5 20.8 41.7 0.16 43.2 42.7
Jessie Pakaski - 24 5.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 -51 -2.0 -7.3 52.9 33.3 42.9 -0.51 57.3 58.8
Taelor Paulsen - 22 2.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 -2 -0.2 -0.8 38.5 28.6 0 -0.06 46.2 46.2
Whitney Thompson - 26 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 7 0.5 0.8 100.0 100.0 0.0 0.11 101.7 116.7
Giana Rawlings - 26 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 100.0 - 36.3 25.0
Delaney Elsmore - 26 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 -0.2 24 1.1 3.4 9.1 0.0 0 0.11 9.1 9.1
Mallory Winters - 24 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8 0.7 2.2 50.0 0 0 -0.23 50.0 50.0
Cait Ethen - 26 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Brecken Carsello - 24 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.6 5.1 100.0 0 0 0.05 100.0 100.0
Lisa Colin - 26 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mary Titzer - 26 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ava Darling - 25 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maeve Wojcik - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Saige Radke - 23 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG