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Carthage

Also known as: Carthage
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1114 (#43) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1134 (#55) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.2 (#28) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.741 (#325) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.6 More → 0.780 (#138) NetEff +11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.7 More → 0.731 (#264) AdjNet +8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.3 More → 0.725 (#265) AdjNet +8.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.641 (#260) AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 72.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 @ Illinois Tech W 82 - 56
2024-11-16 vs Alma W 89 - 56
2024-11-20 @ Wis.-Platteville L 72 - 85
2024-11-23 @ Anderson (IN) L 74 - 88
2024-11-26 vs Ripon W 76 - 66
2024-11-30 @ Wis.-Whitewater W 69 - 63
2024-12-04 @ Ill. Wesleyan W 77 - 68
2024-12-07 vs Knox W 95 - 69
2024-12-14 @ Augustana (IL) W 82 - 70
2024-12-19 @ Chatham L 60 - 62
2024-12-20 vs Spalding W 86 - 64
2025-01-04 vs North Park L 68 - 69
2025-01-08 @ Elmhurst W 75 - 71
2025-01-11 vs Millikin W 64 - 55
2025-01-15 vs North Central (IL) W 93 - 78
2025-01-18 @ Wheaton (IL) W 85 - 78
2025-01-22 vs Carroll (WI) W 88 - 68
2025-01-25 vs Augustana (IL) W 77 - 69
2025-02-01 @ North Park L 82 - 93
2025-02-05 @ Carroll (WI) W 84 - 75
2025-02-08 vs Ill. Wesleyan W 85 - 74
2025-02-12 @ North Central (IL) W 73 - 71
2025-02-15 vs Wheaton (IL) W 89 - 80
2025-02-19 vs Elmhurst W 83 - 71
2025-02-22 @ Millikin W 84 - 77
2025-02-28 vs North Central (IL) W 84 - 83
2025-03-01 vs Ill. Wesleyan L 60 - 79
2025-03-07 vs St. Norbert L 89 - 92

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Riley Brooks - 28 33.2 15.8 4.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 1.2 14.9 6.0 44 2.2 3.0 38.8 32.5 80.3 2.72 49.3 46.2
AJ Johnson - 28 34.1 15.7 4.7 3.4 0.8 0.4 2.1 9.9 12.9 126 4.7 8.3 45.3 40.8 90.1 1.64 63.8 54.5
Ryan Johnson - 28 29.9 15.0 9.1 2.0 0.9 1.3 1.6 9.9 16.9 100 3.8 7.3 48.2 36.6 74.7 1.8 60.2 53.6
Griffin Daun - 28 28.4 10.2 5.8 1.9 1.3 0.9 1.4 7.7 11.1 82 3.0 5.9 54.0 25.0 68.1 0.6 58.5 55.8
AJ Williams - 28 29.6 9.1 3.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 6.6 8.1 41 1.7 3.1 44.0 37.1 87.5 0.4 59.9 53.8
Colton Sigel - 28 15.3 6.1 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.4 3 0.2 0.8 39.7 37.3 77.8 0.25 57.5 54.8
Nemi Ostojic - 28 9.3 2.8 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.9 4.2 -13 -1.2 -7.0 66.7 0 29.2 -0.21 61.2 66.7
Tanner Lamb - 28 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 -8 -2.0 -32.7 42.9 42.9 88.9 -0.61 68.8 64.3
Ashe Oglesby - 21 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 -14 -14.0 -14.1 52.6 25.0 60.0 -0.03 56.6 55.3
Elijah Thomas - 27 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 -4 -0.2 -38.9 46.7 0.0 25.0 -0.94 44.7 46.7
Patrick Laurich - 28 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -7 -2.3 -204.9 100.0 0 0 -1.36 100.0 100.0
Mason Miller - 27 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 -1 -0.3 -16.1 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.14 69.4 50.0
Andy Nash - 27 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -2 -2.0 -58.5 60.0 50.0 0 -1.36 80.0 80.0
Nate Montgomery - 26 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2 0.5 38.7 50.0 0 66.7 -1.19 64.7 50.0
Kaden Dawson - 26 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Quentin Villa - 28 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -7 -2.3 -204.9 12.5 14.3 0 -1.36 18.8 18.8
Boris Milic - 28 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 12.5 14.3 0 - 18.8 18.8
Ryan Grantham - 28 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Dane Hamilton - 28 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Garrett Arnold - 27 4.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 -14 -1.3 -12.9 9.1 14.3 20.0 -0.16 15.2 13.6
Adam Kemp - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
KJ Williams - 27 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 -2 -2.0 -58.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.36 10.2 0.0
Antuan Nesbitt - 24 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ethan Dabu - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG