Carthage
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1114 (#43) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1134 (#55) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.2 (#28) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.741 (#325) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.780 (#138) | NetEff +11.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.731 (#264) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.725 (#265) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.641 (#260) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 72.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 82 - 56 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Alma | W | 89 - 56 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Ripon | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Knox | W | 95 - 69 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Chatham | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Spalding | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | North Park | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Elmhurst | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Millikin | W | 64 - 55 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | North Park | L | 82 - 93 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Millikin | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 89 - 92 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Brooks | - | 28 | 33.2 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 14.9 | 6.0 | 44 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 38.8 | 32.5 | 80.3 | 2.72 | 49.3 | 46.2 |
| AJ Johnson | - | 28 | 34.1 | 15.7 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 12.9 | 126 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 45.3 | 40.8 | 90.1 | 1.64 | 63.8 | 54.5 |
| Ryan Johnson | - | 28 | 29.9 | 15.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 16.9 | 100 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 48.2 | 36.6 | 74.7 | 1.8 | 60.2 | 53.6 |
| Griffin Daun | - | 28 | 28.4 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 82 | 3.0 | 5.9 | 54.0 | 25.0 | 68.1 | 0.6 | 58.5 | 55.8 |
| AJ Williams | - | 28 | 29.6 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 8.1 | 41 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 44.0 | 37.1 | 87.5 | 0.4 | 59.9 | 53.8 |
| Colton Sigel | - | 28 | 15.3 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 39.7 | 37.3 | 77.8 | 0.25 | 57.5 | 54.8 |
| Nemi Ostojic | - | 28 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -13 | -1.2 | -7.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 29.2 | -0.21 | 61.2 | 66.7 |
| Tanner Lamb | - | 28 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -8 | -2.0 | -32.7 | 42.9 | 42.9 | 88.9 | -0.61 | 68.8 | 64.3 |
| Ashe Oglesby | - | 21 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | -14 | -14.0 | -14.1 | 52.6 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -0.03 | 56.6 | 55.3 |
| Elijah Thomas | - | 27 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -38.9 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.94 | 44.7 | 46.7 |
| Patrick Laurich | - | 28 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -7 | -2.3 | -204.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mason Miller | - | 27 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.3 | -16.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.14 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Andy Nash | - | 27 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -2 | -2.0 | -58.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.36 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Nate Montgomery | - | 26 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.5 | 38.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.19 | 64.7 | 50.0 |
| Kaden Dawson | - | 26 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Quentin Villa | - | 28 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -7 | -2.3 | -204.9 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 0 | -1.36 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Boris Milic | - | 28 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Ryan Grantham | - | 28 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dane Hamilton | - | 28 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Garrett Arnold | - | 27 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -14 | -1.3 | -12.9 | 9.1 | 14.3 | 20.0 | -0.16 | 15.2 | 13.6 |
| Adam Kemp | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| KJ Williams | - | 27 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -58.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.36 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Antuan Nesbitt | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Dabu | - | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG