Carson-Newman
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1115 (#46) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1153 (#49) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.5 (#25) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.874 (#198) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.955 (#36) | NetEff +25.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.915 (#194) | AdjNet +20.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.918 (#196) | AdjNet +20.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.794 (#172) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 62.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Lander | W | 90 - 64 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 103 - 68 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Tusculum | W | 93 - 73 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Catawba | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 76 - 57 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | UVA Wise | W | 94 - 87 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Limestone | W | 87 - 62 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Catawba | W | 67 - 49 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Limestone | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | North Georgia | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 114 - 64 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Coker | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Newberry | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 108 - 76 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Wingate | W | 88 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 98 - 75 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Newberry | W | 88 - 51 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Tusculum | W | 89 - 60 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Wingate | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Coker | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | Coker | L | 44 - 48 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Sullivan | - | 31 | 25.5 | 13.8 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 230 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 43.6 | 43.6 | 82.1 | 0.79 | 56.1 | 52.5 |
| Lindsey Taylor | - | 32 | 26.0 | 13.3 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 9.2 | 13.2 | - | - | - | 64.8 | 0.0 | 45.6 | - | 63.1 | 64.8 |
| Campbell Penland | - | 32 | 27.0 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 25 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 38.9 | 37.7 | 79.5 | 0.36 | 54.6 | 50.8 |
| Tori Rutherford | - | 31 | 27.0 | 11.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 33.9 | 75.4 | - | 55.6 | 52.6 |
| Makayla Alvey | - | 32 | 23.5 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 30.4 | 66.7 | - | 47.9 | 44.6 |
| Emily Gonzalez | - | 32 | 20.6 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 156 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 40.7 | 28.8 | 77.8 | 0.75 | 49.3 | 45.2 |
| Mattie Nuckolls | - | 32 | 15.7 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 86 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 43.8 | 38.3 | 92.9 | 0.11 | 53.9 | 51.7 |
| Madelyn Ladd | - | 32 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 18 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 41.1 | 31.4 | 68.8 | 0.35 | 48.2 | 46.3 |
| Abigail Johnson | - | 32 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 24 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 63.3 | 0.28 | 53.9 | 51.2 |
| Karli Haworth | - | 31 | 8.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 34.7 | 25.8 | 73.3 | 0.39 | 45.8 | 43.2 |
| Caroline Hill | - | 25 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 13 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 28.0 | 14.3 | 70.0 | -0.09 | 39.1 | 32.0 |
| Kali Mcmahan | - | 12 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 7 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
| Keeleigh Rogers | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG