Carson-Newman
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#190) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#166) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.7 (#105) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.623 (#272) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.576 (#177) | NetEff +3.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.755 (#265) | AdjNet +9.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.790 (#243) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.700 (#232) | AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 77.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | vs | Lake Superior St. | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2024-11-03 | @ | Fort Lewis | W | 94 - 75 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | King (TN) | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | JWU (Charlotte) | W | 100 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 105 - 101 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Tusculum | W | 95 - 91 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Catawba | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 91 - 75 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 81 - 87 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Limestone | W | 98 - 89 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Catawba | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Limestone | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | North Georgia | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Coker | W | 103 - 97 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Newberry | W | 83 - 82 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 101 - 76 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Wingate | L | 73 - 87 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 114 - 111 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Newberry | W | 111 - 104 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Tusculum | L | 88 - 90 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Wingate | W | 87 - 85 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 85 - 95 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Coker | L | 92 - 108 |
| 2025-03-05 | @ | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 74 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Browder | - | 23 | 35.0 | 20.7 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 18.7 | - | - | - | - | 57.2 | 45.3 | 84.7 | - | 70.5 | 64.9 |
| John Zhao | - | 32 | 31.3 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 10.7 | - | - | - | - | 52.6 | 45.7 | 85.4 | - | 67.6 | 64.2 |
| Trey Hubbard | - | 23 | 29.7 | 16.3 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 13.9 | - | - | - | - | 58.9 | 38.0 | 76.0 | - | 66.7 | 62.9 |
| Nick Brenegan | - | 23 | 35.8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 8.1 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.8 | 92.6 | - | 67.2 | 65.1 |
| Braden Ilic | - | 23 | 28.0 | 12.3 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 13.4 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 35.6 | 83.7 | - | 62.4 | 59.0 |
| Matt Bilbrey | - | 33 | 10.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 47.7 | 43.2 | 68.4 | - | 57.9 | 56.4 |
| Tate Mulkey | - | 28 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 34.5 | 32.6 | 57.1 | - | 49.1 | 48.2 |
| Camden McElhaney | - | 30 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 72.0 | 33.3 | 58.8 | - | 72.4 | 74.0 |
| Joshuwa Butts | - | 21 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 72.1 | 75.0 |
| Ousmane Dia | - | 33 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Keliese Frye | - | 14 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 42.9 | - | 55.7 | 60.0 |
| Aivaras Uosis | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Gorianskii | - | 21 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Caiden Botts | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG