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Carroll (WI)

Also known as: Carroll (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1072 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#78) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +22.6 (#16) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.885 (#253) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.4 More → 0.851 (#100) NetEff +14.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.1 More → 0.979 (#143) AdjNet +33.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.9 More → 0.980 (#142) AdjNet +32.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.870 (#139) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 59.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 @ Milwaukee - Incomplete score
2024-11-08 @ MSOE - Incomplete score
2024-11-12 @ Beloit - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 vs Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2024-11-22 vs Olivet - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 @ Hope - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 @ UChicago - Incomplete score
2024-11-30 @ Ripon - Incomplete score
2024-12-04 @ Carthage - Incomplete score
2024-12-07 vs Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2024-12-14 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-12-20 @ St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2024-12-30 @ Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 @ Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-01-08 vs North Park - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 @ Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2025-01-29 vs Carthage - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-02-05 @ Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-11 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 @ North Park - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 @ Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2025-02-28 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-03-01 @ Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Rangel - 27 33.2 18.7 5.1 4.7 3.0 0.0 3.1 15.3 13.1 56 2.1 2.2 46.8 23.2 72.1 0.5 53.0 48.4
Natalie Gricius - 27 28.2 18.2 6.1 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 13.3 12.0 -25 -0.7 -0.8 50.4 35.0 81.7 1.02 60.1 55.4
Emilie Wizner - 26 25.9 12.0 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.5 10.2 5.8 -15 -0.4 -0.4 42.6 35.5 87.5 0.91 55.0 52.1
Chloe Halverson - 27 22.9 7.8 4.7 1.6 1.7 0.1 1.4 5.8 8.7 35 1.3 1.8 48.7 30.0 70.1 0.3 56.9 52.6
Julia Lokker - 27 14.4 5.3 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.7 4.5 2.8 -61 -1.6 -2.9 46.7 44.4 66.7 -0.42 54.6 53.3
Katie Barger - 27 21.7 5.1 3.9 2.0 2.3 0.1 2.0 4.1 7.3 -63 -1.7 -2.3 51.8 20.0 48.8 0.09 53.1 52.7
Natalie Palzkill - 27 15.4 4.6 3.3 1.8 1.7 0.1 1.9 3.1 6.5 7 0.3 0.4 51.8 53.8 68.2 -0.04 60.1 56.0
Anna Nielsen - 23 13.6 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.4 -48 -1.5 -2.7 42.2 20.0 63.2 -0.39 46.3 43.0
Kacy Kratz - 27 13.4 2.6 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.9 -1 -0.0 -0.1 38.8 27.8 68.4 0.59 46.4 42.5
Alayna Petalber - 27 8.1 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.8 8 0.3 0.8 37.2 35.7 66.7 0.26 50.4 48.8
Ciara Mcmahon - 2 3.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -15 -1.0 -6.8 50.0 50.0 0 -0.2 75.0 75.0
Kailey Wozniak - 13 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Lauren Capstran - 17 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -6 -0.5 -2.8 33.3 0 0 -0.18 33.3 33.3
Ryann Wendt - 11 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -37 -3.7 -5.6 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG