Carroll (WI)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1072 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1124 (#78) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.6 (#16) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.885 (#253) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.851 (#100) | NetEff +14.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#143) | AdjNet +33.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.980 (#142) | AdjNet +32.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.870 (#139) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 59.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | @ | Milwaukee | L | 49 - 74 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | MSOE | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Beloit | W | 75 - 32 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Olivet | W | 85 - 34 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Hope | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | UChicago | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Ripon | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Carthage | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Millikin | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | North Park | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 100 - 79 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Carthage | W | 80 - 53 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Millikin | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 103 - 63 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | North Park | W | 97 - 51 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 89 - 54 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 86 - 95 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Rangel | - | 28 | 33.2 | 18.4 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 15.3 | 12.5 | 56 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 46.0 | 24.1 | 71.8 | 0.5 | 52.2 | 47.7 |
| Natalie Gricius | - | 28 | 28.2 | 18.1 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 13.3 | 11.7 | -25 | -0.7 | -0.8 | 50.3 | 36.2 | 81.7 | 1.02 | 59.9 | 55.4 |
| Emilie Wizner | - | 27 | 25.9 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 10.1 | 5.6 | -15 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 41.6 | 34.2 | 87.5 | 0.91 | 53.8 | 50.9 |
| Chloe Halverson | - | 28 | 23.1 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 8.4 | 35 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 47.5 | 29.3 | 70.1 | 0.3 | 55.7 | 51.2 |
| Julia Lokker | - | 28 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 2.8 | -61 | -1.6 | -2.9 | 45.7 | 44.7 | 70.0 | -0.42 | 54.1 | 52.4 |
| Katie Barger | - | 28 | 21.2 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 7.2 | -63 | -1.7 | -2.3 | 52.2 | 20.0 | 47.7 | 0.09 | 53.3 | 53.1 |
| Natalie Palzkill | - | 27 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 51.8 | 53.8 | 68.2 | -0.04 | 60.1 | 56.0 |
| Anna Nielsen | - | 24 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | -48 | -1.5 | -2.7 | 42.6 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -0.39 | 46.2 | 43.4 |
| Kacy Kratz | - | 28 | 13.2 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.8 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 39.1 | 27.8 | 68.4 | 0.59 | 46.5 | 42.8 |
| Alayna Petalber | - | 28 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 36.4 | 34.5 | 66.7 | 0.26 | 49.3 | 47.7 |
| Ciara Mcmahon | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -15 | -1.0 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ryann Wendt | - | 12 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -37 | -3.7 | -5.6 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kailey Wozniak | - | 13 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Lauren Capstran | - | 17 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -6 | -0.5 | -2.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG