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Carroll (WI)

Also known as: Carroll (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 982 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 977 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +53 elo More โ†’ 965 (#246) HCA +53 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +7.9 (#111) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.3 (#101) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.448 (#228) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.4 More โ†’ 0.538 (#175) NetEff +1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.7 More โ†’ 0.683 (#132) AdjNet +6.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.5 More โ†’ 0.679 (#132) AdjNet +6.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 71.2 More โ†’ 0.614 (#128) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 73.1 More โ†’ 0.543 (#163) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.593 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.579 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 25 More โ†’ 993 (#210) RD 146 | GP 25

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Lakeland - Incomplete score
2024-11-12 vs Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2024-11-15 @ Greenville - Incomplete score
2024-11-20 @ Wis.-Oshkosh - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs WashU - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 vs MSOE - Incomplete score
2024-12-04 vs North Park - Incomplete score
2024-12-07 vs Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2024-12-14 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-12-20 vs UMass Dartmouth - Incomplete score
2024-12-21 vs Widener - Incomplete score
2024-12-30 @ Beloit - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 @ Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-01-15 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 @ Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 @ Carthage - Incomplete score
2025-01-29 @ Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-02-05 vs Carthage - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-11 @ North Park - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 @ Elmhurst - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.