Carroll (WI)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 982 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 977 (#228) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 965 (#246) | HCA +53 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +7.9 (#111) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.3 (#101) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.448 (#228) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.538 (#175) | NetEff +1.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.683 (#132) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.679 (#132) | AdjNet +6.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.614 (#128) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.543 (#163) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.593 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.579 (#161) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 993 (#210) | RD 146 | GP 25 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | WashU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | North Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | North Central (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Beloit | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Augustana (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Carthage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Carthage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | North Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | North Central (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.