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Carlow

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2017
Also known as: Carlow
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 917 (#382) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 846 (#420) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -26.5 (#384) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.058 (#662) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.1 More → 0.126 (#350) NetEff -14.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -45.6 More → 0.005 (#685) AdjNet -45.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -46.7 More → 0.004 (#685) AdjNet -46.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 48.6 | AdjD 78.9 More → 0.060 (#692) AdjO 48.6 | AdjD 78.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Wooster W 64 - 59
2024-11-09 @ Fredonia L 72 - 76
2024-11-15 @ Waynesburg L 79 - 80
2024-11-16 vs Franciscan W 74 - 55
2024-11-18 @ West Va. Wesleyan L 52 - 103
2024-11-26 @ Carnegie Mellon L 45 - 92
2024-12-07 @ Hood L 64 - 76
2024-12-18 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 82 - 60
2025-01-04 vs Hilbert W 68 - 30
2025-01-08 @ Pitt.-Bradford W 65 - 59
2025-01-11 vs Mount Aloysius L 60 - 69
2025-01-15 @ Penn St.-Altoona W 81 - 76
2025-01-18 @ Alfred St. W 70 - 64
2025-01-20 @ Penn St.-Behrend L 47 - 98
2025-01-22 vs La Roche L 45 - 59
2025-01-28 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 40 - 92
2025-02-01 @ Hilbert W 65 - 53
2025-02-05 @ Pitt.-Greensburg W 82 - 36
2025-02-08 vs Pitt.-Bradford W 75 - 65
2025-02-13 vs Penn St.-Altoona W 65 - 56
2025-02-15 @ Mount Aloysius L 78 - 87
2025-02-19 @ La Roche L 59 - 76
2025-02-22 vs Alfred St. L 42 - 54
2025-03-11 vs Five Towns L 77 - 84
2025-03-12 vs Me.-Fort Kent W 75 - 54

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sydney Carr - 25 33.7 15.5 6.7 3.5 2.5 0.2 2.9 15.3 10.2 -125 -5.4 -5.5 36.8 43.6 72.1 -0.59 47.2 44.8
Nina Cano - 25 31.0 12.6 10.8 0.8 0.6 1.0 2.8 13.0 9.9 -78 -3.4 -3.9 38.9 0.0 68.1 -0.2 43.1 38.9
Emiley Hillgartner - 25 29.9 10.3 4.1 2.8 1.7 0.2 2.2 11.0 5.9 -56 -2.5 -2.6 32.1 28.9 73.2 -0.08 41.6 36.1
Emari Stinnette - 17 20.9 7.9 5.3 0.9 0.5 0.9 2.6 8.8 4.1 -44 -1.9 -2.6 34.9 29.7 60.6 -0.28 41.3 38.6
Shaelyn Clark - 25 30.6 7.7 5.0 2.8 2.9 0.4 2.5 7.7 8.6 -96 -4.2 -4.7 33.9 23.6 67.6 -0.7 43.0 37.2
Emma Aubrey - 25 28.4 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.8 7.6 4.6 -75 -3.3 -3.5 34.0 34.2 75.0 -0.24 48.8 48.2
Gia Rosensteel - 25 8.3 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.7 0.0 -111 -3.8 -7.8 25.0 25.0 40.0 -0.84 35.3 34.8
Josie Horne - 25 14.0 1.6 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.1 3.0 -85 -2.7 -3.9 30.8 11.1 80.0 -1.73 36.3 31.7
Lexi Berta - 19 4.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.4 -36 -3.0 -9.6 20.7 22.7 100.0 -0.07 34.1 29.3
Julia Ogrodowski - 18 2.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 -0.2 36 2.6 8.6 17.6 14.3 100.0 -0.44 25.2 20.6
Mya Waage - 20 4.5 0.5 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 -88 -4.9 -19.1 33.3 0.0 0 -0.61 33.3 33.3
Venicia Vignoli - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tahmie Lord - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olivia Chuvala - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alexis Toth - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 46 6.6 9.8 0.0 0.0 0 -1.44 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG