Carleton
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 952 (#330) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 897 (#378) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.1 (#260) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#645) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.087 (#361) | NetEff -17.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.136 (#526) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.131 (#520) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.279 (#520) | AdjO 55.5 | AdjD 66.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Wis.-Superior | L | 41 - 68 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | North Central (MN) | W | 59 - 41 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 42 - 56 |
| 2024-11-29 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Claremont-M-S | L | 44 - 50 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | St. Scholastica | L | 39 - 70 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Saint Benedict | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Macalester | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Martin Luther | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Augsburg | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Hamline | L | 48 - 75 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 39 - 75 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Bethel (MN) | L | 47 - 77 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | St. Catherine | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | St. Olaf | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | St. Scholastica | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Saint Benedict | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bethel (MN) | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | St. Catherine | L | 61 - 91 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Hamline | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 49 - 84 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Concordia-M'head | L | 58 - 68 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addy Huss | - | 25 | 33.3 | 13.4 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 10.9 | 11.4 | -35 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 47.3 | 33.3 | 72.1 | -0.14 | 55.1 | 52.2 |
| Audrey Whitney | - | 24 | 33.2 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 11.5 | 4.3 | -29 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 40.4 | 35.0 | 71.4 | 0.06 | 50.9 | 47.8 |
| Liesl Mccallum | - | 3 | 25.7 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -21 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 53.3 | 47.6 |
| Selma Vangstein | - | 25 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 6.6 | 4.0 | -70 | -2.8 | -2.9 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 44.7 | -0.42 | 41.3 | 40.4 |
| Nayeli Williams | - | 25 | 17.9 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 6.6 | 0.1 | -24 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 23.5 | 17.3 | 58.2 | -0.02 | 31.3 | 26.2 |
| Bella Thomas | - | 13 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 34.0 | 25.0 | 81.8 | - | 45.2 | 36.0 |
| Grace Schwarz | - | 25 | 10.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | -53 | -1.9 | -5.4 | 18.8 | 17.6 | 75.0 | -0.61 | 27.1 | 25.0 |
| Jasmine Maldonado | - | 24 | 10.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.1 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 26.3 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 0.11 | 33.6 | 32.9 |
| Liz Hiatt | - | 21 | 11.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 31.2 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 53.5 | 46.9 |
| Taylor Dente | - | 23 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | -1.1 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 15.8 | 0 | -0.14 | 20.5 | 20.5 |
| Charlotte Henry | - | 22 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -0.3 | -36 | -1.6 | -4.2 | 13.8 | 9.5 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 19.5 | 17.2 |
| Opal Burruss | - | 20 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zoe Kress | - | 21 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG