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Capital

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Capital
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1062 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#138) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +13.8 (#62) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.719 (#356) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.4 More → 0.810 (#117) NetEff +11.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.8 More → 0.861 (#233) AdjNet +15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.4 More → 0.860 (#238) AdjNet +15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.699 (#238) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Denison W 84 - 77
2024-11-16 vs Kenyon W 68 - 34
2024-11-20 @ CWRU W 51 - 40
2024-11-26 @ Wooster W 75 - 48
2024-12-04 @ Heidelberg W 75 - 62
2024-12-07 @ Mount Union W 57 - 52
2024-12-13 vs Ohio Northern W 70 - 60
2024-12-16 vs Ohio Wesleyan W 62 - 58
2024-12-29 vs MSOE L 55 - 60
2024-12-30 @ Adrian W 73 - 61
2025-01-04 @ Baldwin Wallace L 64 - 67
2025-01-08 vs Muskingum W 82 - 65
2025-01-11 vs John Carroll L 64 - 71
2025-01-15 vs Wilmington (OH) W 78 - 74
2025-01-18 @ Otterbein W 58 - 50
2025-01-22 @ Marietta W 86 - 69
2025-01-25 vs Mount Union W 73 - 60
2025-01-29 vs Heidelberg W 74 - 59
2025-02-01 @ Ohio Northern W 73 - 45
2025-02-05 @ Muskingum W 88 - 44
2025-02-08 vs Baldwin Wallace L 69 - 75
2025-02-12 vs Marietta L 58 - 71
2025-02-15 @ John Carroll L 65 - 73
2025-02-19 @ Wilmington (OH) W 68 - 62
2025-02-22 vs Otterbein W 73 - 54
2025-02-25 vs Marietta W 70 - 55
2025-02-27 @ Baldwin Wallace L 72 - 80

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bri O'Connor - 27 34.3 21.0 4.9 3.1 3.4 0.4 3.1 15.7 13.8 46 1.7 1.6 41.7 32.1 87.7 0.17 56.7 49.1
Samaree Perkins - 27 33.3 16.4 10.6 1.6 1.3 0.8 2.8 11.3 16.5 33 0.9 0.9 44.3 29.4 68.2 0.24 54.8 47.5
Aubrie Ickes - 1 29.0 14.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 11.0 -5 -0.1 -0.2 50.0 0 33.3 0.51 47.8 50.0
Laney Murphy - 27 32.9 11.4 3.7 1.1 0.9 0.3 2.3 12.4 2.7 92 3.4 3.2 29.3 28.8 70.6 0.72 42.9 40.4
Anya Riley - 1 18.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 -21 -1.6 -5.5 25.0 0 77.8 -0.2 56.5 25.0
Morgan Babb - 1 23.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 3.0 -65 -1.9 -1.9 50.0 0.0 0.0 -0.22 45.0 50.0
Hannah Lisch - 1 30.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 -40 -1.2 -1.3 25.0 33.3 100.0 -0.23 39.4 31.2
Kylie Skidmore - 1 18.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -22 -0.9 -1.0 60.0 0 50.0 0.46 59.5 60.0
Jenna Horsley - 27 14.6 6.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 4.9 2.3 2 0.1 0.1 39.4 42.5 100.0 -0.24 60.7 58.7
Kaitlyn Otto - 1 25.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 -66 -2.5 -3.1 33.3 25.0 50.0 -0.63 43.6 41.7
Ashlyn Weatherly - 1 17.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Kya Jordan - 27 30.0 4.2 3.0 2.5 1.7 0.3 1.9 4.4 5.4 65 1.8 1.9 33.9 19.4 62.2 0.84 41.4 36.4
Maddi Weiland - 27 25.8 3.7 5.1 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.5 3.9 7.4 41 1.5 1.7 32.4 26.9 66.7 0.2 42.8 39.0
Emma McElroy - 1 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 -2 -0.1 -0.2 100.0 100.0 0 -0.01 150.0 150.0
Kendall Spreen - 27 10.0 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.7 -41 -1.1 -1.9 39.7 36.4 44.4 -0.62 55.3 55.6
Darby Lienerth - 1 22.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 -33 -1.0 -1.2 12.5 0.0 0 -0.6 12.5 12.5
Rani Thigpen - 15 7.7 1.3 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.7 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 56.3 53.1
Kenzie Weiland - 27 3.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 -27 -1.3 -5.6 36.4 42.9 62.5 -0.3 49.9 43.2
Tahirah Ellis - 27 5.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.0 1.7 -12 -0.4 -1.2 25.0 33.3 75.0 -0.2 37.6 28.6
Skylar Blatnik - 6 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Aleyna Rick - 27 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 55.6 66.7 0 - 77.8 77.8
Izzy Rodriguez - 27 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 -31 -1.7 -4.2 37.5 33.3 50.0 -0.28 51.7 50.0
Aly Ray - 10 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.1 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Nyla Washington - 27 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10 0.7 2.8 50.0 0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Olivia Rouser - 27 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.2 5 0.4 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Aleena McCullough - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0
Rylee Troth - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG