Capital
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1062 (#117) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1141 (#92) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1112 (#83) | - |
| Margin | +6.5 (#121) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | +3.8 (#300) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.719 (#356) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.861 (#233) | AdjO 107.9 | AdjD 92.1 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.860 (#238) | AdjO 105.8 | AdjD 90.3 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.699 (#238) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.591 (#242) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.651 (#258) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.656 (#256) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.740 (#226) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1180 (#82) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Franklin | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | CWRU | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wooster | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Kenyon | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Muskingum | W | 57 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2025-12-22 | vs | Wittenberg | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Otterbein | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Mount Union | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Marietta | W | 85 - 79 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 59 - 49 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Muskingum | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 49 - 63 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.