Calvin
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1049 (#132) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1080 (#127) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.1 (#40) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.830 (#283) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.886 (#86) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.940 (#177) | AdjNet +23.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.942 (#179) | AdjNet +23.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.780 (#188) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 52.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Wis.-Stout | L | 41 - 73 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 71 - 35 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Loras | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Marietta | L | 44 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Mount Union | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Trine | L | 42 - 54 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 70 - 32 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Alma | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Lakeland | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 43 - 46 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Hope | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Adrian | W | 68 - 45 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 60 - 35 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Albion | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Olivet | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Trine | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Hope | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Alma | W | 58 - 40 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Adrian | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Albion | W | 62 - 37 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 77 - 51 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Olivet | W | 78 - 51 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Adrian | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Hope | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Trine | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 52 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Fernandez | - | 29 | 28.0 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 13.7 | 7.8 | 86 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 39.6 | 31.0 | 68.3 | 0.59 | 48.0 | 45.3 |
| Katelyn Larue | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 68 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.59 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Hannah Sall | - | 29 | 21.6 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 9.6 | 111 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 53.1 | 0 | 47.4 | 1.15 | 53.2 | 53.1 |
| Valerie Dirkse | - | 29 | 24.1 | 5.8 | 8.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 11.7 | 64 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 37.6 | 0 | 71.2 | 0.03 | 42.6 | 37.6 |
| Gabby Halliwill | - | 29 | 13.6 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 61 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 30.8 | 29.8 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 41.7 | 41.5 |
| Sophie Sensenig | - | 29 | 15.1 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 31 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 27.7 | 19.0 | 67.9 | 0.04 | 34.0 | 30.4 |
| Chloe Wiegers | - | 28 | 20.5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 27 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 35.8 | 20.0 | 81.1 | 0.43 | 46.7 | 38.9 |
| Jamie Custer | - | 29 | 12.0 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 107 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 31.0 | 30.3 | 70.0 | 0.69 | 41.3 | 39.8 |
| Lydia Sall | - | 21 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 79 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 38.1 | 0 | 54.3 | 0.86 | 42.7 | 38.1 |
| Allie Mayes | - | 20 | 12.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 22 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 34.0 | 23.1 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 38.9 | 37.2 |
| Grace Rosser | - | 24 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 20.6 | 22.7 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 28.7 | 27.9 |
| Ashley Raredon | - | 25 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 49 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 16.3 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.19 | 21.1 | 16.3 |
| Sally Merrill | - | 29 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -18 | -0.9 | -4.7 | 42.1 | 40.0 | 57.1 | -0.58 | 49.8 | 47.4 |
| Jenna Williams | - | 29 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.1 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Emma Minderhoud | - | 26 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Caitlyn Tolentino | - | 29 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Lindsay Minderhoud | - | 28 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 18.6 | 11.1 |
| Lauren Vansumeren | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sami DeKuiper | - | 9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 25 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG