Caltech
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 882 (#427) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#404) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.3 (#230) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.254 (#558) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.272 (#306) | NetEff -7.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.358 (#429) | AdjNet -5.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.350 (#429) | AdjNet -5.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.404 (#433) | AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 62.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | LIFE Pacific | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 71 - 46 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Ottawa (AZ) | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Whitworth | L | 41 - 63 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Nelson | W | 81 - 43 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Redlands | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Chapman | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Westcliff | W | 47 - 46 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Saint Benedict | L | 41 - 57 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Alverno | W | 74 - 45 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Occidental | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Occidental | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Whittier | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | La Verne | W | 57 - 55 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Redlands | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2025-02-03 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 42 - 75 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Chapman | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | La Verne | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-02-17 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Whittier | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 55 - 73 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Edwards | - | 25 | 32.1 | 14.7 | 8.9 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 12.0 | 15.5 | -109 | -5.7 | -5.7 | 45.0 | 25.0 | 67.8 | -0.39 | 52.5 | 48.3 |
| Kyra Phaychanpheng | - | 24 | 29.3 | 13.2 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 4.7 | -39 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 39.7 | 18.5 | 67.0 | -0.17 | 45.2 | 41.3 |
| Zeynep Goktepe | - | 23 | 28.0 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 5.3 | -82 | -3.0 | -3.2 | 40.3 | 16.3 | 67.7 | -0.59 | 46.5 | 42.2 |
| Kodie Vondra | - | 25 | 33.7 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 8.4 | 7.4 | -93 | -4.7 | -5.3 | 31.8 | 25.8 | 65.9 | -0.43 | 42.1 | 39.3 |
| Asmat Taunque | - | 18 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 4.7 | -12 | -0.9 | -1.9 | 50.7 | 44.4 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 57.4 | 53.7 |
| Carolyn Ruan | - | 21 | 21.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | -102 | -4.2 | -5.4 | 37.9 | 36.1 | 66.7 | -1.32 | 47.5 | 44.7 |
| Anamaria Robertson | - | 25 | 21.2 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 2.8 | -39 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 36.1 | 30.4 | 48.0 | -0.04 | 44.0 | 43.0 |
| Maria Vazhaeparambil | - | 25 | 22.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 1.4 | -47 | -2.4 | -3.8 | 27.6 | 14.0 | 63.2 | -0.34 | 34.4 | 31.4 |
| Louise Scriven | - | 25 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 24.5 | 25.8 | 33.3 | 0.22 | 32.9 | 32.7 |
| Eshani Patel | - | 6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Saumya Chauhan | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Thando Nkala | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG