Caltech
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 827 (#595) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 804 (#588) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 794 (#758) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.9 (#365) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.0 (#672) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.019 (#778) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.017 (#760) | AdjNet -35.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.015 (#760) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.088 (#753) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 85.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.202 (#738) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 87.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.155 (#708) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.154 (#719) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 734 (#606) | RD 113 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Cal St. Fullerton | L | 82 - 136 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Occidental | L | 74 - 106 |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | West Coast Baptist | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | West Coast Baptist | W | 117 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Whitman | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | La Sierra | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Oglethorpe | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Piedmont | L | 84 - 115 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Amherst | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Claremont-M-S | L | 68 - 102 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Redlands | L | 82 - 107 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Occidental | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Chapman | L | 58 - 84 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 63 - 100 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | La Verne | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Whittier | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Occidental | L | 72 - 101 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 79 - 96 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Glogovac | - | 20 | 34.5 | 22.8 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 17.4 | 11.7 | -132 | -6.9 | -40.4 | 41.5 | 30.6 | 82.8 | -0.05 | 56.0 | 49.6 |
| Josh Balami | - | 17 | 30.4 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 5.3 | -85 | -5.3 | -190.7 | 37.5 | 19.6 | 70.9 | 2.61 | 45.9 | 40.1 |
| Chase Williamson | - | 20 | 29.8 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.6 | -103 | -5.7 | -38.8 | 45.4 | 30.9 | 68.3 | 2.38 | 56.8 | 51.4 |
| Noah Hicks | - | 5 | 25.3 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 44 | 14.7 | 112.8 | 45.7 | 35.3 | 88.9 | 2.31 | 59.0 | 54.3 |
| Finnegan Fancher | - | 21 | 29.4 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 6.9 | -129 | -6.8 | -37.7 | 45.0 | 33.3 | 71.9 | -1.34 | 55.8 | 53.2 |
| Stuart Florescu | - | 21 | 27.1 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 6.5 | -83 | -4.4 | -34.6 | 43.9 | 25.0 | 58.6 | -0.39 | 47.9 | 44.8 |
| Ryan Rodrigue | - | 20 | 22.3 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 4.2 | -159 | -8.8 | -46.6 | 44.9 | 36.7 | 63.9 | -2.17 | 53.3 | 49.2 |
| Carlos Bedolla | - | 1 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -21 | -1.9 | -32.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Ido Geffen | - | 20 | 10.9 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | -75 | -3.9 | -67.7 | 34.5 | 20.0 | 73.9 | -3.46 | 45.5 | 38.8 |
| Isaiah Bennett | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -44 | -3.7 | -72.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.37 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Major Hurley | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 31 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.19 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Koclanes | - | 20 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | -133 | -7.4 | -98.0 | 29.1 | 22.5 | 66.7 | -1.48 | 38.2 | 37.3 |
| Kason White | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.59 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Pranit Gunjal | - | 12 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 20.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
| Robert Jackson | - | 11 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 1.0 | 53.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.35 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Dagemawi Getachew | - | 4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 13 | 3.2 | 318.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Akande | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Aquino | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -19 | -1.2 | -14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Karl Ashley | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -96.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Bannon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Burrows | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Christian | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Daaboul | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Gray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.2 | -10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan Guzman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -2.2 | -40.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Higgy Katoa | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.51 | 0 | 0 |
| Sharodd Lewis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -41 | -3.7 | -161.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Lin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48 | 6.0 | 711.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Moore | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -5.0 | -181.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Francisco Muhammad | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27 | 1.7 | 37.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Weeks | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -31.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Percy Whittaker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.1 | -18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG